Sale 1:

Sold for Miami Nights Samur-Eye + 9 keys

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198357093059#!/compare/1586908800/1586995200

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198343871058#!/compare/1586908800/1586995200

https://backpack.tf/item/8469382750

https://i.imgur.com/lFSvkLy.png - B/O of 19

https://i.imgur.com/029gRiQ.png - Buyers at ~9.4 keys on the Samur-Eye. This’ll cap.

19 keys (Capped by B/O)

Sale 2:

Sold for 19 keys (Buyer’s end)

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198850274253#!/compare/1587513600/1587600000

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198080909224#!/compare/1587513600/1587686400

https://backpack.tf/item/7764447794 - Seller doesn’t appear in the history, but he is the one listed on marketplace for $49.99, so he definitely owns it.

19 keys

Sale 3:

Sold for 17 keys + 7 ref?

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198848406878#!/compare/1581724800/1581811200

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198357093059#!/compare/1581724800/1581811200

https://backpack.tf/item/8469382750

https://i.imgur.com/lFSvkLy.png - bot.tf confirms

We can see exactly 7 ref on the seller’s end, it looks like they spent keys later that day. I don’t doubt that bot.tf is correct here.

17 keys

Sale 4:

Sold to a bot for 16 keys + 22 ref

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198039771390#!/compare/1587600000/1587686400

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198986177898#!/compare/1587513600/1587600000

https://backpack.tf/item/7764447794

The 11 missing keys went to the searing Larrikin

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198986177898#!/compare/1587513600/1587600000

16 keys

Sale 5:

Sold for Spec. KS Aus Stickybomb Launcher (~14)

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198193943858#!/compare/1585440000/1585699200

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198089253101#!/compare/1585353600/1585440000

https://backpack.tf/item/7957020102

14 keys

Marketplace Sales:

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/30422;5;u57

$43.99, March 20th

$45, March 25th

$45, March 30th

$50, April 13th

https://backpack.tf/item/3394975283 - April 13th

https://bot.tf/stats/listings/Y9QLRPGD - No B/O

http://manic.tf/keyprice?at=2020-04-13&price=50 - $50 / $1.72 = 29.07 keys

Couldn’t find other histories.

http://manic.tf/keyprice?at=2020-03-20&price=43.99 - $43.99 / $1.68 = 26.18 keys

https://bot.tf/stats/listings/MLVR6WJ5 - Wasn’t the 25 key seller.

http://manic.tf/keyprice?at=2020-03-25&price=45 - $45 / $1.69 = 26.63 keys

https://bot.tf/stats/listings/4EPE63QK - Wasn’t the 20 key seller.

http://manic.tf/keyprice?at=2020-03-30&price=45 - $45 / $1.69 = 26.63 keys

https://bot.tf/stats/listings/YD118XJL - Wasn’t the 2nd listing, they still have it.

After rounding, we have:

27 keys (2x)

29 keys

Other Sales:

https://backpack.tf/item/7957020102 (#1-5)

https://backpack.tf/item/7956948212 (#6)

https://backpack.tf/item/7956886329 (#7)

https://backpack.tf/item/3394975283 (#8)

https://backpack.tf/item/7956281469 (#9 & #10)

#1

Bulk for Green Energy Vive La France

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198138173718#!/compare/1584057600/1584403200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198206848157#!/compare/1584316800/1584489600

#2

Bulk for Beams Universal Translator

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198206848157#!/compare/1584835200/1584921600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198193943858#!/compare/1584835200/1585180800

#3

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198089253101#!/compare/1585612800/1585699200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197984373540#!/compare/1585612800/1585699200

#4

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198020673987#!/compare/1587254400/1587427200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198850274253#!/compare/1587340800/1587427200

#5

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198850274253#!/compare/1587427200/1587513600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198045985914#!/compare/1587427200/1587513600

#6

SCM

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198423128548#!/compare/1584230400/1586390400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198322431524#!/compare/1584230400/1584748800

#7

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198311498888#!/compare/1583884800/1583971200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198796104110#!/compare/1583452800/1586131200

#8

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198059828124#!/compare/1586995200/1587686400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198311498888#!/compare/1586908800/1586995200

#9

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198834678807#!/compare/1585872000/1586217600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198950621219#!/compare/1585785600/1585872000

#10

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198950621219#!/compare/1585785600/1585872000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198337734785#!/compare/1585785600/1585872000

Sellers/Buyers:

https://i.imgur.com/Rlrs0gA.png

https://backpack.tf/item/7764447794 - 25 keys

Buyers at ~16.4 keys.

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/30422;5;u57

https://backpack.tf/item/7764447794 - $49.99 (~28 keys)

https://backpack.tf/item/7956281469 - $54.99 (~30 keys)

https://backpack.tf/item/7956787473 - $84.70 (at least 45 keys)

Sales at:

14

16

17

19 (2x)

26

27 (2x)

29

14 and 16 are below buyers, excluding.

17 went to a bot buy order, excluding.

Seller at 25. While I don’t want to exclude everything above it (especially considering how new it is), I don’t want to stray too far away from it. I will exclude 29, and set the high-end at 27. Also balances out excluding 17 and setting the low-end to 19.

Taking 19-27.