Sale 1:

Sold for Memory Leak Your Worst Nightmare (17)

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198309261884#!/compare/1585008000/1585094400

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198009424974#!/compare/1582416000/1585094400

https://backpack.tf/item/7956943377

17 keys

Sale 2:

Sold for 15 keys

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198091930467#!/compare/1583020800/1583107200

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198870374830#!/compare/1583020800/1583107200

https://backpack.tf/item/7956943377

15 keys

Sale 3:

Sold for 14 keys

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198870374830#!/compare/1583020800/1583107200

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198062153114#!/compare/1582070400/1583107200

https://backpack.tf/item/7956943377

14 keys

Marketplace Sales:

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/319;5;u57

$28.99, Jan 27th

$28.99, Feb 11th

$28.99, Feb 28th

$25.99, March 15th

$25.99, March 30th

$13.20, March 31st

$25.99, April 3rd

No bot.tf snapshots available. Can’t get B/Os.

http://manic.tf/keyprice?at=2020-01-27&price=28.99 - $28.99 / $1.77 = 16.38 keys

http://manic.tf/keyprice?at=2020-02-11&price=28.99 - $28.99 / $1.77 = 16.38 keys

http://manic.tf/keyprice?at=2020-02-28&price=28.99 - $28.99 / $1.75 = 16.57 keys

http://manic.tf/keyprice?at=2020-03-15&price=25.99 - $25.99 / $1.72 = 15.11 keys

http://manic.tf/keyprice?at=2020-03-30&price=25.99 - $25.99 / $1.69 = 15.38 keys

http://manic.tf/keyprice?at=2020-03-31&price=13.2 - $13.2 / $1.69 = 7.81 keys

http://manic.tf/keyprice?at=2020-04-03&price=25.99 - $25.99 / $1.70 = 15.29 keys

https://backpack.tf/item/7957056573 - March 15th & April 3rd

https://backpack.tf/item/2648548138 - March 30th

Couldn’t find the remaining histories.

After rounding, we have:

15 keys (3x)

16 keys (2x)

17 keys

Other Sales:

https://backpack.tf/item/7957056573 (#1, everything else was gambled or otherwise unusable)

https://backpack.tf/item/7956943377 (#2-5)

https://backpack.tf/item/7956861184 (#6)

https://backpack.tf/item/7956722128 (#7)

https://backpack.tf/item/7956722128 - tradeit bots

#1

Untraceable, probably gambled

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198090147535#!/compare/1584230400/1584316800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198841365001#!/compare/1584230400/1584316800

#2

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198838476339#!/compare/1581811200/1582070400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198091930467#!/compare/1581379200/1582416000

#3

Sold for Logo Hotrod + cheap cosmetic

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198062153114#!/compare/1583625600/1583712000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199002502864#!/compare/1583625600/1583712000

Can be used on the Hotrod

#4

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199002502864#!/compare/1583625600/1583712000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198322380737#!/compare/1583625600/1583712000

#5

Sold for Cloud 9 Bomber’s Bucket Hat

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198322380737#!/compare/1583625600/1583712000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198309261884#!/compare/1583625600/1583712000

Can be used on the Bucket Hat.

#6

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197995880156#!/compare/1587081600/1587168000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198880626493#!/compare/1587168000/1587254400

The taunt matches.

#7

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198309832044#!/compare/1581120000/1581206400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198881474752#!/compare/1581292800/1584662400

Sellers/Buyers:

https://i.imgur.com/7WIU3F8.png

https://backpack.tf/item/7956943377 - 26 keys

Buyers at ~10 keys

Sales at:

8

14

15 (4x)

16 (2x)

17 (2x)

8 is a large outlier, excluding 8.

Taking 14-17.