Re-suggesting, new sales.

Sale 1:

Sold for 14 keys

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198091502579#!/compare/1587859200/1587945600

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198119634686#!/compare/1587600000/1587945600

https://backpack.tf/item/7957675715

14 keys

Sale 2:

Sold for 14 keys

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198806851576#!/compare/1584057600/1584489600

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198337734785#!/compare/1583971200/1584057600

https://backpack.tf/item/7957082895

14 keys

Sale 3:

Sold for 14 keys

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198091502579#!/compare/1587859200/1587945600

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198337734785#!/compare/1587859200/1587945600

https://backpack.tf/item/2834416852

14 keys

Sale 4:

Sold for 14 keys

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198806851576#!/compare/1581292800/1581465600

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198337734785#!/compare/1581206400/1581292800

https://backpack.tf/item/2213618892

13 keys show on the seller’s end. 14th went towards the spelled AWP

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198061779536#!/compare/1581379200/1581465600

14 keys

Sale 5:

Sold to a bot for 14 keys + 4 ref

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198119634686#!/compare/1588118400/1588204800

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198305494036#!/compare/1588118400/1588204800

https://backpack.tf/item/7957675715

https://i.imgur.com/LBtEIeK.png - Bot.tf confirms

14 keys

Sales 6-11: - Credits to Erik

6 Terror-Watt Baker Boys sold for 79 keys + 43 ref (~79.8 keys)

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198091502579#!/compare/1587859200/1587945600

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198850274253#!/compare/1587859200/1587945600

https://backpack.tf/item/7957526740

https://backpack.tf/item/7896477645

https://backpack.tf/item/7956561466

https://backpack.tf/item/2729423963

https://backpack.tf/item/1885922307

https://backpack.tf/item/1862695703

https://cdn.discordapp.com/attachments/402343918555103232/704817073871650867/d0387b54a95477a5806b5acef313b38c.png

79.8/6 = 13.3

13 keys (6x)

Sale 12:

Sold for 13 keys

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198358296372#!/compare/1588032000/1588118400

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198411927651#!/compare/1587600000/1588118400

https://backpack.tf/item/4114080252

13 keys

Sale 13:

Sold for 11 keys + 40 ref

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198305494036#!/compare/1588204800/1588291200

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198170247605#!/compare/1588291200/1588377600

https://backpack.tf/item/7957675715

https://i.imgur.com/q95wuUS.png

Not too sure if that is the right buyer, but it does seem to have sold for 11 keys and 40 ref, we can see that exact amount on the seller’s end.

12 keys

Marketplace Sales:

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/107;5;u57

$24.99, April 28th

$24.99, May 1st

https://backpack.tf/item/4114080252

https://bot.tf/stats/listings/M19L9XW0 - B/O of 18

http://manic.tf/keyprice?at=2020-04-28&price=24.99 - $24.99 / $1.82 = 13.73 keys

https://bot.tf/stats/listings/MXXND068 - No B/O (wasn’t the bot, I don’t think)

http://manic.tf/keyprice?at=2020-05-01&price=24.99 - $24.99 / $1.85 = 13.51 keys

Can’t find the history

After rounding, we have:

14 keys (2x)

Other Sales:

https://backpack.tf/item/2213618892 (#1)

https://backpack.tf/item/7957082895 (#2)

https://backpack.tf/item/8647997368

https://i.imgur.com/K9w8rH7.png - Labelled as ~14 keys, though the seller’s backpack wasn’t scanned with the item.

https://backpack.tf/item/4114080252

https://i.imgur.com/K9w8rH7.png - Labelled as ~11 keys, same situation as above

Since my last attempt at the suggestion, the same bot that bought for 14 keys + 4 ref in Sale 5 had bought 2 more times at 14 keys + 4 ref. They also appear to have sold for ~11-12 keys twice. I’m not able to trace many of those sales at all, but most of these aren’t going to affect the range anyways.

#1

Sold for Stormy Storm Tyrantium Helmet

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198091502579#!/compare/1581033600/1581206400

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198806851576#!/compare/1581206400/1581292800

https://bot.tf/stats/listings/46NWXDJ0 - B/O of 18

Can be used on the Tyrantium Helmet.

#2

Sold for Dead Presidents Pomade Prince + 2 keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198091502579#!/compare/1582675200/1582848000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198806851576#!/compare/1582416000/1582934400

https://bot.tf/stats/listings/Y5RXXKZE - B/O of 18

This sale is rather dated, occurred before the sellers for less than 15 popped up. Given the marketplace sales alone on the pomade sold for, It’s likely that this sale will exceed those sellers by quite a bit. Can probably be used on the Pomade instead.

Sellers:

https://i.imgur.com/BnvFo8d.png

https://backpack.tf/item/2213618892 - ~14.75 keys

Sales at:

12

13 (7x)

14 (7x)

+ possibly 1 sale at 11 and 2 more sales at 14 according to bot.tf

https://i.imgur.com/q95wuUS.png

Taking 12-14, as advised by Cashew.