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(Resuggesting)
Burning Flames Burning Beanie
#Sale 1: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198355667850#!/compare/1586476800/1586908800
Sold for 140 Keys in pure
#Sale 2: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198000790043#!/compare/1583971200/1584057600
Quicksold for 60 Keys
#Sale 3: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198334946156#!/compare/1584576000/1584662400
Sold along side with a Scorching Flames Hong Kong Cone for 288 Keys in pure
∟>mini for Hong Kong: https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/30177;5;u14
Sold for 539,99$ on Apr. 28th.
Key price on apr. 28th: 1,82$ per Key
539/1,82= 296 Keys
(excluding this Sale, better be used on the Hong Kong Cone)
#Sale 4: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198426094322#!/compare/1583971200/1584057600
Sold for a Twisted Radiance Skullbrero + 47 Keys in pure
∟>mini for Skullbrero: https://backpack.tf/stats/Unusual/Skullbrero/Tradable/Craftable/130
(excluding this Sale, better be used on the Skullbrero)
#Sale 5: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198075110874#!/compare/1587513600/1588377600
Sold along with a Strange Conniver's Kunai (1Key) + Strange Tyrant's Helm (1 Key) for a Scorching Flames Grimm Hatte (147 Key)
147 - 2 Keys in sweets= 145 Keys
∟>mini for Grimme: Capping @ 147 Keys
https://backpack.tf/stats/Unusual/Grimm%20Hatte/Tradable/Craftable/14
∟> mini for Kunai: Capping @ 1 Key
https://backpack.tf/stats/Strange/Conniver%27s%20Kunai/Tradable/Craftable
∟> mini for Helm: Capping @1 Key
https://backpack.tf/stats/Strange/Tyrant%27s%20Helm/Tradable/Craftable
Sales we have:
140,60,145
going with 140-145 Keys
https://imgur.com/a/QnOszIg - Your sale was capped by the buyout of 140 Keys
https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/30936;5;u13 - Sold for $160 (92 Keys)
https://backpack.tf/item/6995782136
https://imgur.com/a/HDdsS1a - Capped by the buyout of 77 Keys
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198426094322#!/compare/1586736000/1587081600 - Sold for a Circling Heart Team Captain
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198050160312#!/compare/1586995200/1587081600 - The Team Captain is here, it quicksold for the Neptune
https://imgur.com/a/1sg17lU - The Team Captain sale is capped by the buyout of 80 Keys
https://backpack.tf/item/7172585773 - Can't tell what Killua's sale was, but it had a buyout of 64 Keys
https://imgur.com/a/ya3i4he - Buyout of 64 Keys
I only count 30 Keys added to the Skullbrero in Sale 4, making that sale no higher than 80 Keys. Rubi had a buyout of 74 Keys for this sale also.
https://imgur.com/a/JybdLtL - This sale will almost certainly cap at 74
There's no real good Mini for the Skullbrero, since its only other sales are 41 (buy order at the time) and 65+, but current Sellers are around 43 Keys.
https://imgur.com/a/Rot5261 - Yours hasn't sold at 140 for 27 days
https://backpack.tf/item/6521514385
Now we have sales at 60, something with a buyout of 64, one likely capped at 74, 77, 80, 140, and 140 Keys.
Since both 140 sales were the most recent, the 80 trade's value was 120 before the cap, and the Skullbrero Mini is janky, I'd exclude 74 and below.
Additionally, since 140 hasn't sold for 27 days, and since there are so many lower sales, I'd consider 140 high.
77 - 80 will work here.