Sale 1:

Sold for 9 keys + 15 ref

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198305494036#!/compare/1587254400/1587340800

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198160856661#!/compare/1587254400/1587340800

https://backpack.tf/item/7956382127

9 keys

Sale 2:

Sold for 9 keys + 5 ref

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198173442901#!/compare/1586995200/1587081600

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198916430174#!/compare/1586908800/1587081600

https://backpack.tf/item/7957487409

9 keys

Sale 3:

Sold for 9 keys (IDs match)

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198916430174#!/compare/1587254400/1587600000

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198093136976#!/compare/1586908800/1587427200

https://backpack.tf/item/7957487409

9 keys

Sale 4:

Sold to a bot for 8 keys + 6 ref

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198800565591#!/compare/1587168000/1587340800

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198305494036#!/compare/1587254400/1587340800

https://backpack.tf/item/7956382127

https://i.imgur.com/1h14dPg.png - bot.tf confirms

8 keys

Marketplace Sales:

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/615;5;u62

$18.56, Feb 20th

$10.41, March 18th

$18, March 24th

$14.93, March 29th

$15.99, March 30th

$16.80, April 12th

$16.80, April 21st

No snapshots available prior to April 14th.

https://backpack.tf/item/7956772865 - Feb 20th

https://backpack.tf/item/7957363164 - March 24th

Couldn’t find other histories.

http://manic.tf/keyprice?at=2020-02-20&price=18.56 - $18.56 / $1.75 = 10.61 keys

http://manic.tf/keyprice?at=2020-03-18&price=10.41 - $10.41 / $1.69 = 6.16 keys

http://manic.tf/keyprice?at=2020-03-24&price=18 - $18 / $1.68 = 10.71 keys

http://manic.tf/keyprice?at=2020-03-29&price=14.93 - $14.93 / $1.69 = 8.83 keys

http://manic.tf/keyprice?at=2020-03-30&price=15.99 - $15.99 / $1.69 = 9.46 keys

http://manic.tf/keyprice?at=2020-04-12&price=16.8 - $16.8 / $1.71 = 9.82 keys

http://manic.tf/keyprice?at=2020-04-21&price=16.8 - $16.8 / $1.79 = 9.39 keys

https://bot.tf/stats/listings/4R0J3GP5 - No important B/O.

After rounding, we have:

9 keys (3x)

11 keys (2x)

Other Sales:

https://backpack.tf/item/7957487409 (#1-4)

https://backpack.tf/item/7957291597 (#5)

https://backpack.tf/item/7956382127 (#6-15)

https://backpack.tf/item/7956261961 (#16-19)

https://backpack.tf/item/1790646280 (#20)

#1

Bulk for Vivid Modest Metal

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198051900362#!/compare/1586995200/1587081600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198173442901#!/compare/1586995200/1587081600

#2

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198093136976#!/compare/1587427200/1587513600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198249609772#!/compare/1586044800/1587513600

#3

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198249609772#!/compare/1587513600/1587600000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199013398159#!/compare/1587513600/1587600000

1 key matches

#4

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199013398159#!/compare/1587600000/1587686400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198202584223#!/compare/1587340800/1587686400

1 key matches, again.

#5

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198311498888#!/compare/1581033600/1581120000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198170180942#!/compare/1581033600/1581120000

Only 4 keys and half a key in metal match.

#6

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198337734785#!/compare/1586563200/1586649600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198373073766#!/compare/1586563200/1586649600

#7

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198373073766#!/compare/1586563200/1586649600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199038205705#!/compare/1586649600/1586736000

#8

Sold for Kill-a-Watt Guadalajara

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199038205705#!/compare/1586736000/1586908800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198022768015#!/compare/1586822400/1586908800

Can be used to update the Guad.

#9

Sold with ~1.5 keys in pure/items for Green Confetti Old Guadalajara

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198022768015#!/compare/1587081600/1587168000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198800565591#!/compare/1586995200/1587168000

Should be used on the Guadalajara.

#10

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198160856661#!/compare/1587254400/1587340800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198338922826#!/compare/1587427200/1587513600

Looks to be missing someone in the history.

#11

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198338922826 - backpack won’t update

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198099141522#!/compare/1587513600/1587600000

#12

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198099141522#!/compare/1587513600/1587600000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198007660411#!/compare/1587427200/1587600000

#13

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198007660411#!/compare/1587600000/1587686400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198841279602#!/compare/1587600000/1587686400

#14

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198841279602#!/compare/1587772800/1587859200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198373073766#!/compare/1587427200/1587859200

Only 7 keys match.

#15

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198373073766#!/compare/1587859200/1588118400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198358100512#!/compare/1587686400/1588032000

#16

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198850274253#!/compare/1585353600/1585440000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198271933283#!/compare/1585267200/1585353600

#17

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198271933283#!/compare/1585353600/1585440000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198317907934#!/compare/1585353600/1585440000

#18

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198279623105#!/compare/1585353600/1585440000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198256677589#!/compare/1582156800/1585440000

#19

Sold for Stormy Storm Elf Esteem + 1 key

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198317907934#!/compare/1585353600/1585440000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198279623105#!/compare/1585353600/1585440000

Looks like it’ll go below what quickbuyers pay. Excluding.

#20

Sold for Terror-Watt Combustible Kabuto

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198021055079#!/compare/1583539200/1583625600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198072763995 - won’t update

https://i.imgur.com/u0M3Gd3.png

Using on the Kabuto.

Sellers/Buyers:

https://i.imgur.com/Bva7xqW.png

https://backpack.tf/item/7957487409 - 14 keys

https://backpack.tf/item/6895996118 - 14 keys

Buyers at 8+ keys.

Sales at:

6

8

9 (6x)

10

11 (2x)

6 and 8 are below buyers. Excluding 6 and 8.

Taking 9-11.