Sale 1:

Sold for 13 keys + 29 ref?

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198850274253#!/compare/1587513600/1587600000

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198063359239#!/compare/1579478400/1587600000

https://backpack.tf/item/7957489641

https://bot.tf/stats/listings/Y7910D1K - was listed for 13 keys + 29 ref

We see 13 keys + 2 ref on the seller’s end. It’s likely that the seller bought other stuff with the ref. I don’t doubt it sold for the full 13 keys + 29 ref. Using that here.

14 keys

Sale 2:

Sold for 11 keys + ~1 key in metal

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198131081286#!/compare/1582502400/1582588800

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198384349249#!/compare/1582156800/1583712000

https://backpack.tf/item/8045170079

12 keys

Marketplace Sales:

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/30390;5;u57

$38, April 1st

$17.75, April 3rd

$24.99, April 7th

https://backpack.tf/item/7957319141 - April 1st

https://manic.tf/keyprice/?at=2020-04-01&price=38 - $38 / $1.69 = 22.49 keys

https://bot.tf/stats/listings/MVQQD93V - B/O of 19

Couldn’t find remaining histories.

http://manic.tf/keyprice?at=2020-04-07&price=24.99 - $24.99 / $1.69 = 14.79 keys

https://bot.tf/stats/listings/MVQ6EO5E - definitely belonged to the seller listed at 14 here. Can’t get the history, their backpack was never scanned with the item in it. This listing is gone shortly after the sale.

https://bot.tf/stats/listings/4J95VE2X

http://manic.tf/keyprice?at=2020-04-03&price=17.75 - $17.75 / $1.70 = 10.44 keys

No point checking snapshots as this will be lower than buy orders.

After rounding, we have:

14 keys (Capped by B/O)

19 keys (Capped by B/O)

Other Sales:

https://backpack.tf/item/8045170079 (#1 & #2)

https://backpack.tf/item/7957319141 (#3)

https://backpack.tf/item/7957040696 (#4-7)

https://backpack.tf/item/7429217196 (#8

#1

Bulk for pure

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198124741938#!/compare/1582502400/1582761600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198131081286#!/compare/1582416000/1582502400

#2

SCM

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198384349249#!/compare/1585094400/1587427200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198123659896#!/compare/1585699200/1587081600

#3

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198068652280#!/compare/1585785600/1586390400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198080460142#!/compare/1586131200/1586217600

#4

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198850274253#!/compare/1586822400/1586908800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198133683569#!/compare/1586908800/1586995200

Only 11 keys + 1 ref match

#5

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198133868529#!/compare/1587081600/1588377600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198850274253#!/compare/1587513600/1587600000

#6

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198850274253#!/compare/1587772800/1587859200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198062365679#!/compare/1585180800/1587859200

#7

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198062365679#!/compare/1587859200/1588723200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198363395191#!/compare/1588636800/1588723200

#8

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198037674114#!/compare/1583884800/1585094400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198020673987#!/compare/1584144000/1584489600

#9

Bulk for pure

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198020673987#!/compare/1584489600/1584662400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198311498888#!/compare/1584576000/1584662400

Sellers/Buyers:

https://i.imgur.com/3nneFIR.png

https://backpack.tf/item/7957489641 - 18 keys

https://backpack.tf/item/7957482994 - 18 keys

Buyers at 12+ keys.

Sales at:

10

12

14 (2x)

19

19 is a high outlier, excluding 19.

10 went to a marketplace buy order, excluding 10.

Buyers at 12+ keys, excluding 12.

Taking 14 flat.