Marketplace Sales:

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/30360;5;u57

$17.82, March 28th

$17.82, March 29th

$17, April 6th

$17, April 12th

$17.99, April 13th

$8.56, April 15th

$19.86, April 22nd

$19.86, April 23rd

$20.99, May 3rd

No listing snapshots available.

https://backpack.tf/item/7956380024 - April 22nd, probably

https://backpack.tf/item/5701221740 - March 29th

Can’t find any other item history.

http://manic.tf/keyprice?at=2020-03-28&price=17.82 - $17.82 / $1.69 = 10.54 keys

http://manic.tf/keyprice?at=2020-03-29&price=17.82 - $17.82 / $1.69 = 10.54 keys

http://manic.tf/keyprice?at=2020-04-06&price=17 - $17 / $1.69 = 10.06 keys

http://manic.tf/keyprice?at=2020-04-12&price=17 - $17 / $1.71 = 9.94 keys

http://manic.tf/keyprice?at=2020-04-13&price=17.99 - $17.99 / $1.72 = 10.46 keys

http://manic.tf/keyprice?at=2020-04-15&price=8.56 - $8.56 / $1.77 = 4.84 keys

http://manic.tf/keyprice?at=2020-04-22&price=19.86 - $19.86 / $1.75 = 11.35 keys

http://manic.tf/keyprice?at=2020-04-23&price=19.86 - $19.86 / $1.77 = 11.22 keys

http://manic.tf/keyprice?at=2020-05-03&price=20.99 - $20.99 / $1.87 = 11.22 keys

After rounding, we have:

10 keys (3x)

11 keys (5x)

[b]Other Sales:

https://backpack.tf/item/7956380024 (#1-3)

https://backpack.tf/item/5701221740 (#4)

https://backpack.tf/item/7956007137 - scrap

https://backpack.tf/item/7791596828 - tradeit bot

#1

Untraceable, probably bulk or gambled

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198367892937#!/compare/1587513600/1587600000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198118157202#!/compare/1587513600/1587600000

#2

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198878866368#!/compare/1587945600/1588032000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198305494036#!/compare/1587945600/1588032000

https://i.imgur.com/ijDos1l.png - labelled as 6 keys + 13 ref

#3

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198305494036#!/compare/1588118400/1588204800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198122393901#!/compare/1588291200/1588636800

https://i.imgur.com/ijDos1l.png - labelled as 6 keys + 45 ref

#4

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199017093161#!/compare/1585440000/1585699200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198305494036#!/compare/1585353600/1585440000

https://i.imgur.com/ijDos1l.png - labelled as 6 keys + 5 ref

There’s also another purchase at 6 keys + 6 ref and another sale at 6 keys + 50 ref on the same day, in that order, but I’m unable to retrieve the history for this as we can’t see it in the bot’s backpack at any point.

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198305494036#!/compare/1586649600/1586736000

Sellers/Buyers:

https://i.imgur.com/4lcUNaS.png

Buyers at ~6 keys

Sales at:

5

10 (3x)

11 (5x)

Originally, I had planned on including 6 in the range, as we can use bot.tf stats alone as proof if we have at least 3 sales at a certain value (we have 3 sales at ~6 keys). I planned on doing this due to the large amount of sales we had below 7. However, the number of buyers at 6 heavily outweight the sales at 6, and scrap seems to be paying at least 7 keys for something of similar value:

https://i.imgur.com/6MEVWUH.png

https://backpack.tf/stats/Unusual/Scout%20Shako/Tradable/Craftable/57 - currently priced at 17-18 (it’ll change soon I promise)

So with all that in mind, I’ll just exclude the sales below the marketplace sales here.

Taking 10-11.