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Sale 1:
bulk
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198076020691#!/compare/1581206400/1581292800
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198105071091#!/compare/1581206400/1581292800
Sale 2:
gambled https://imgur.com/a/HG7sAWC
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198105071091#!/compare/1583971200/1584057600
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198141629801#!/compare/1583971200/1584057600
Sale 3:
untrace
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198141629801#!/compare/1584144000/1584230400
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198886697512#!/compare/1584057600/1584144000
Sale 4:
Vivid KE(65)
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198207603105#!/compare/1587513600/1587859200
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198107202494#!/compare/1587772800/1587859200
==============================================================================
supports drop:
this guy been trying to sell this for 9 months at around 75 keys
https://backpack.tf/item/2484115329
https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/30182;5;u9
In my opinion, some of these don't add up to the price you are suggesting. The vivid Ke, for example, has been trading hands for higher than it's market value. Personally, if I were to take the price down, I'd put it around 85-90.
I forgot to mention another thing. Bulk buys, gambles, and untraces don't seem like an accurate representation of an individual hats value. Along with the fact that your only solid evidence is with the vivid ke which has an active price change itself occuring right now that why slighty "bs". The price previous to it was based off a single quicksale. The suggestion should have been never accepted.
1) That KE suggestion is complete bullshit, the current (and accurate) price is derived from a suggestion that passed a month ago for 65.
2) Just because you have this hat, it doesn't void any evidence here.
3) Facts don't care about your feelings. Sales matter, not opinions.
There's another sale here, sold for a Pro KS Aussie Grenade Launcher + Aussie Scatter + 8 keys. Somewhere around 60:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198207603105#!/compare/1586563200/1586649600
Quicksold to STN for under buyers:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198886697512#!/compare/1585008000/1585094400
Please explain how a thread full of evidence based upon untraces, gambling, and bulk sales is facts. Thank you for posting actual evidence unlike the thread creator.
There are 3 of these hats in existence. Hence, there are a small number of valid trades that can occur as they're limited to these 3 hats.
The other two hats haven't been traded (can't confirm as I don't have premium) which is why they are not present in this suggestion.
The last of the three hats is the one in all of these sales. Without the trade for the KE, no suggestion could occur as no value can be taken from any sale.
The untraces and bulks are used to show the hat's movement. They aren't used to give a value.
The only valid sales are the 65 KE sale and the ~60ish pure sale in my response. This is more accurate than a 3 year old price that currently stands. Not to mention PE has a seller at 35 and 55 keys.
As I’ve stated the current price for the Ke is based on a quick sale. It should have never been made that price. According to the backpack tf rules I have 1 month to resell before a price suggestion can even be made. This price suggestion shouldn't even exist since the first 3 sales are invalid and the fourth which is questionable is still only a single sale used in violation of this rule.
Refer to Part 3 exception 2:
Exception 2: Rare Hats
Any hat can be priced based on a single sale if ALL these criteria are met:
There are no other recent sales in the last 3 months
If the owner has not resold the hat 1 month after the sale occurred OR the hat went to a collector or person who intends to keep the hat. A collector can be identified by looking at the person's trade history, item history of similar unusuals in the backpack.
The hat is not a new hat / effect (i.e. new Halloween effects during the Halloween event). You must wait until after the event is over to price these based on a single sale.
If you actually looked at the KE suggestion you would have noticed 4 sales between 58-68 keys. No doubt ALL of them are quicksales. /s
If you actually looked at the rules you'd also have noticed that this hat does not fall under this criteria as there are two valid sales.
Stop acting like the rules are bent for others because you're bending them for yourself.
The hat has 2 valid sales, and hence, the price is suggested off that. The KE is in-date at 65, and the Aussie sales are effectively pure.
I’m not talking about the KE I’m talking about the GE. Then show me the second sale man. An actual sale. Where it wasn’t gambled, bulked, quicksold , or the sale was untraceable.
Sales from trade bot sites like STN tend not to be used, also looks like those 2 aussies were sold for keys(1 to scrap.tf, 1 elsewhere) and then keys traded to STN
Does that make the aussie + keys sale void? If it does then it's just the KE sale that can be used.
New sale:
with 5 keys for Searing Plasma Woolen Warmer, no other sales on warmer, using there
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198107202494#!/compare/1588982400/1589068800
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198050933686#!/compare/1588982400/1589068800