Sale 1:

Sold for 10 keys + less than half a key in metal

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198048851745#!/compare/1585353600/1585440000

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198807004544#!/compare/1585353600/1585440000

https://backpack.tf/item/8214543132

https://bot.tf/stats/listings/YD1L3Q6V - B/O of 10 keys + 20 ref

10 keys

Sale 2:

Sold for 10 keys + 19 ref

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198985910282#!/compare/1583971200/1584057600

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198048766368#!/compare/1584057600/1586131200

https://backpack.tf/item/7323098725

https://bot.tf/stats/listings/466RP7R2

10 keys

Marketplace Sales:

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/30006;5;u57

$25.99, March 23rd

$25.99, April 15th

$25.99, April 19th

$27.78, May 4th

https://backpack.tf/item/7956964307 - April 19th

http://manic.tf/keyprice?at=2020-04-19&price=25.99 - $25.99 / $1.79 = 14.52 keys

https://bot.tf/stats/listings/MXX013JP - No important B/O

http://manic.tf/keyprice?at=2020-03-23&price=25.99 - $25.99 / $1.68 = 15.47 keys

https://bot.tf/stats/listings/4295RJXG - No important B/O

http://manic.tf/keyprice?at=2020-04-15&price=25.99 - $25.99 / $1.77 = 14.68 keys

https://bot.tf/stats/listings/MNRO9P23 - definitely the 13 key seller, listing disappears after the sale

https://bot.tf/stats/listings/4P09ZWG3 - listing gone

http://manic.tf/keyprice?at=2020-05-04&price=27.78 - $27.78 / $1.88 = 14.78 keys

https://bot.tf/stats/listings/MXXNZPE1 - No important B/O

After rounding, we have:

13 keys (Capped by B/O)

15 keys (3x)

Other Sales:

https://backpack.tf/item/7956964307 (#1)

https://backpack.tf/item/7955673051 (#2)

https://backpack.tf/item/6253360846 (#3 & #4)

https://backpack.tf/item/7323098725 (#5-7)

#1

Untraceable, most likely bulk

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198337734785#!/compare/1582243200/1582329600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198354459626#!/compare/1582243200/1582329600

#2

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198341171690#!/compare/1581465600/1581552000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198260810687#!/compare/1581465600/1581724800

#3

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198342220573#!/compare/1585785600/1588982400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198141383960#!/compare/1552003200/1587772800

#4

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198141383960 - won’t update

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198080179568#!/compare/1587772800/1587859200

#5

Transferred to bot

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198006544512#!/compare/1583884800/1583971200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198985910282#!/compare/1583884800/1583971200

#6

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198048766368#!/compare/1586131200/1587513600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198850274253#!/compare/1586217600/1586304000

#7

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198850274253#!/compare/1587168000/1587254400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198447606862#!/compare/1586390400/1587600000

Sellers:

https://i.imgur.com/9IFnFzS.png

https://backpack.tf/item/6253360846 - 12 keys

Sales at:

10 (2x)

13

15 (3x)

Seller at 12, don’t want to stray too far above it. Will keep 13 in the range, but excluding 15.

Taking 10-13.