Sale 1:

Sold for 8 keys

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198055822245#!/compare/1583280000/1583366400

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199024824935#!/compare/1583107200/1583452800

https://backpack.tf/item/7975853232

8 keys

Sale 2:

Sold for 7 keys + 5 ref

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198178305653#!/compare/1584921600/1585008000

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199014136432#!/compare/1584921600/1585008000

https://backpack.tf/item/7975853232

7 keys

Marketplace Sales:

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/31048;5;u33

$16.80, March 15th

$13.10, March 17th

$16, March 22nd

$24.99, April 11th

https://backpack.tf/item/8021784525 - March 15th, most likely

http://manic.tf/keyprice?at=2020-03-15&price=16.8 - $16.8 / $1.72 = 9.77 keys

https://bot.tf/stats/listings/Y80RGRWD - No B/O

http://manic.tf/keyprice?at=2020-03-17&price=13.1 - $13.1 / $1.69 = 7.75 keys

Would’ve gone to a buy order, no point checking for a B/O.

http://manic.tf/keyprice?at=2020-03-22&price=16 - $16 / $1.68 = 9.52 keys

https://bot.tf/stats/listings/Y9QG0W36 - No important B/O

http://manic.tf/keyprice?at=2020-04-11&price=24.99 - $24.99 / $1.70 = 14.70 keys

https://bot.tf/stats/listings/4KVJ05XN - No important B/O

After rounding, we have:

15 keys

Other Sales:

https://backpack.tf/item/7956569395 (#1)

https://backpack.tf/item/7975853232 (#2-8)

#1

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198965872685 - won’t update

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198850178158#!/compare/1584230400/1584316800

May have been the March 17th marketplace sale.

#2

Sold with a key for Terror-Watt Pardner’s Pompadour

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198120672630#!/compare/1582848000/1582934400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198295044680#!/compare/1582848000/1582934400

#3

Sold with a couple keys in items for Orbiting Fire Modest

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198295044680#!/compare/1583280000/1583366400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198055822245#!/compare/1583193600/1583280000

Should be used on that.

#4

Sold for Dead Presidents Trilby

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199024824935#!/compare/1583971200/1584230400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198376277706#!/compare/1584057600/1584230400

Can be used on the Trilby.

#5

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198376277706#!/compare/1584662400/1585008000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198178305653#!/compare/1584921600/1585008000

#6

Sold for 6 keys?

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199014136432#!/compare/1585008000/1585094400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198102730844#!/compare/1585008000/1585094400

I’m assuming some of the items on the buyer’s end were also involved, but I can’t prove that. Excluding.

#7

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198252999692#!/compare/1585958400/1586044800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198305494036#!/compare/1585958400/1586044800

https://i.imgur.com/0LppYNb.png - Labelled as 7 keys + 11 ref

#8

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198305494036#!/compare/1586131200/1586217600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198850274253#!/compare/1586217600/1586304000

Missing a person in the history.

Sales at:

7

8 (2x)

9.5

10

15

15 is a large outlier, excluding 15.

https://i.imgur.com/bXaZMJH.png - many buyers at 7+, excluding 7.

Taking 8-10.