The Sale:

Sold for Orbiting Fire Shutterbug (Suggestion at 9) + 1 key

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198295044680#!/compare/1582848000/1582934400

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198120672630#!/compare/1582848000/1582934400

https://backpack.tf/item/7955582611

10 keys

Marketplace Sales:

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/30099;5;u57

$26.99, March 1st

$12.05, April 3rd

$26.99, May 6th

$26.99, May 9th

Couldn’t find the histories.

http://manic.tf/keyprice?at=2020-03-01&price=26.99 - $26.99 / $1.73 = 15.60 keys

http://manic.tf/keyprice?at=2020-04-03&price=12.05 - $12.05 / $1.70 = 7.09 keys

http://manic.tf/keyprice?at=2020-05-06&price=26.99 - $26.99 / $1.89 = 14.28 keys

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/5021;6 - $26.99 / $1.89 = 14.28 keys

After rounding, we have:

14 keys (2x)

16 keys

Other Sales:

https://backpack.tf/item/7957643925 (#1)

https://backpack.tf/item/7955582611 (#2-6)

https://backpack.tf/item/3692034232 (#7)

#1

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198307590702#!/compare/1588032000/1588723200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198375205910#!/compare/1588464000/1588550400

#2

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198122996406#!/compare/1582675200/1582761600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198077179618#!/compare/1582588800/1582761600

Misty Western Wear was involved, so probably bulk

#3

Bulk for Aus RL

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198077870175#!/compare/1582675200/1582761600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198077179618#!/compare/1582588800/1582761600

#4

Sold for Nuts Steel Toe + ~1 key in items?

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198077870175#!/compare/1582761600/1582848000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198295044680#!/compare/1582761600/1582848000

I feel like more was involved. This’ll be too low otherwise.

#5

Untraceable, most likely bulk

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198120672630#!/compare/1582934400/1583020800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198224448340#!/compare/1582934400/1583020800

#6

Bulk

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198224448340#!/compare/1582934400/1583020800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198055224435#!/compare/1582934400/1583020800

#7

Bulk for Spellbound Soldered Sensei

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198166102098#!/compare/1587081600/1587513600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198368868701#!/compare/1586995200/1587427200

Orbiting Fire Shutterbug:

https://backpack.tf/suggestion/5eb796fd9747974f10753d12

Sellers/Buyers:

https://i.imgur.com/QlJ9Bsb.png

https://backpack.tf/item/3692034232 - 11 keys

Buyers at ~8 keys.

Sales at:

7

10

14 (2x)

16

7 is below buyers, excluding 7.

Seller at 11. Don’t want to stray too high from the seller. Will excluding 16, but keeping 14 in the range.

Taking 10-14.