Sale 1:

Sold for ~15 keys in items

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198057460779#!/compare/1589500800/1589587200

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198151927307#!/compare/1589414400/1589587200

https://backpack.tf/item/2249485139

15 keys

Sale 2:

Sold for ~9 keys in items

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198151927307#!/compare/1589587200/1589673600

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198231065288#!/compare/1586908800/1589673600

https://backpack.tf/item/2249485139

9 keys

Sale 3:

Sold for 8 keys + ~1 key in metal?

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198079358892#!/compare/1582156800/1582243200

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198079358892#!/compare/1582156800/1582243200

https://backpack.tf/item/7957094987

https://i.imgur.com/mbkIpck.png - labelled as 8 keys + 49 ref

Near ID: 8519898179

8 keys + 24 ref match, I don’t doubt that some of the metal went towards some of the other hats the seller later bought.

9 keys

Sale 4:

Sold with some metal for Vivid Plasma Sky High Fly Guy (8.75)

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198311498888#!/compare/1586908800/1586995200

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198796671544#!/compare/1586908800/1587081600

https://backpack.tf/item/7957094987

8.5 keys

Sale 5:

Sold for 8 keys + half a key in metal

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198080179568#!/compare/1587772800/1587859200

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198361994521#!/compare/1587772800/1587859200

https://backpack.tf/item/2855684626

8.5 keys

Sale 6:

Sold for 8 keys

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198294274074#!/compare/1586995200/1587081600

BUyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198279083007#!/compare/1586995200/1587168000

https://backpack.tf/item/2855684626

8 keys

Other Sales:

https://backpack.tf/item/7957094987 (#1-6)

https://backpack.tf/item/4104763364 (#7-10)

https://backpack.tf/item/2855684626 (#11 & #12)

https://backpack.tf/item/2249485139 (#13)

https://backpack.tf/item/6175832217 - mannco bot

#1

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197963335915#!/compare/1582934400/1584057600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198886697512#!/compare/1584057600/1584144000

#2

Untraceable, missing a person in the history

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198886697512#!/compare/1584316800/1584403200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198020673987#!/compare/1584748800/1584835200

#3

Untraceable, probably bulk for pure

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198020673987#!/compare/1584835200/1584921600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198311498888#!/compare/1584748800/1584835200

#4

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198118476069#!/compare/1589241600/1589414400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198845140080#!/compare/1589414400/1589414400 - no compare available

#5

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198845140080#!/compare/1589414400/1589414400 - backpack won’t update

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198260686830#!/compare/1589328000/1589414400

#6

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198260686830#!/compare/1589328000/1589414400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198850274253#!/compare/1589328000/1589414400

A key and some metal matches.

#7

Bulk for SBTWC Attendant

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198095901773#!/compare/1583366400/1583539200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198271915998#!/compare/1583452800/1583539200

#8

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198271915998#!/compare/1583452800/1583539200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198453530349#!/compare/1583452800/1583539200

#9 & #10

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198453530349#!/compare/1586044800/1586131200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198305494036#!/compare/1586044800/1586131200

https://i.imgur.com/mbkIpck.png - labelled as 7 keys + 14 ref

Seller probably withdrew the item from their bot then sold to the other bot, so it wouldn’t be traceable from the seller’s end.

The bot buyer then seems to have sold to someone that dumped on mannco before it was scanned in their backpack, so the next listed bot.tf sale is untraceable

https://i.imgur.com/mbkIpck.png - labelled as 7 keys + 25 ref

#11

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198889457478#!/compare/1586217600/1586304000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198294274074#!/compare/1585872000/1586649600

#12

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198279083007#!/compare/1587254400/1587513600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198080179568#!/compare/1587340800/1587427200

4 keys + some metal match

#13

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198366947672#!/compare/1586044800/1586217600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198057460779#!/compare/1587168000/1587686400

Sellers:

https://i.imgur.com/2ZCoJno.png

https://backpack.tf/item/7957094987 - ~8.5 keys

https://backpack.tf/item/7957048408 - ~8.5 keys

https://backpack.tf/item/4658528516 - 10 keys

Sales at:

8

8.5 (2x)

9 (2x)

15

15 is a large outlier, excluding 15.

Don’t know how long the sellers at 8.5 have been up for, more specifically Rubi’s, most recent snapshot was from September last year, and Rubi had it listed for 11 at that time. It’s likely Rubi undercut to 8.5 recently when Johan’s was listed. With that in mind, I’ll keep 9 in the range.

Taking 8-9.