Sale 1:

Sold for 9 keys

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198208988253#!/compare/1589673600/1589760000

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198050717411#!/compare/1589328000/1589760000

https://backpack.tf/item/2277844051

9 keys

Sale 2:

Sold for 8 keys + small amount of metal

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198311498888#!/compare/1589155200/1589241600

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198360346559#!/compare/1589068800/1589241600

https://backpack.tf/item/7957048131

8 keys

Sale 3:

Sold for 8 keys

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198850274253#!/compare/1582070400/1582156800

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198119505019#!/compare/1582156800/1582243200

https://backpack.tf/item/7956448373

Near ID: 8517879560

8 keys

Sale 4:

Sold for 7 keys

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198002757046#!/compare/1588723200/1588809600

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198042190500#!/compare/1588809600/1588896000

https://backpack.tf/item/7957541360

7 keys

Marketplace Sales:

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/435;5;u57

$15, March 2nd

$15.18, March 3rd

$20, May 16th

No snapshots available.

https://backpack.tf/item/3466508150 - March 2nd

https://backpack.tf/item/7956448373 - May 16th

Couldn’t find the last history.

http://manic.tf/keyprice?at=2020-03-02&price=15 - $15 / $1.71 = 8.77 keys

http://manic.tf/keyprice?at=2020-05-03&price=15.18 - $15.18 / $1.87 = 8.12 keys

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/5021;6 - $20 / $1.89 = ~10.58 keys

After rounding, we have:

10.5 keys

Other Sales:

https://backpack.tf/item/7957541360 (#1 & #2)

https://backpack.tf/item/7957359993 (#3 & #4)

https://backpack.tf/item/7957048131 (#5 & #6)

https://backpack.tf/item/7956882479 (#7-10)

https://backpack.tf/item/7956448373 (#11-17)

https://backpack.tf/item/7955894720 (#18-22)

https://backpack.tf/item/3466508150 (#23 & #24)

https://backpack.tf/item/2610913507 (#25)

https://backpack.tf/item/2277844051 (#26 & #27

https://backpack.tf/item/7956835646 - marketplace

https://backpack.tf/item/7956174388 - mannco bots

#1

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198850274253#!/compare/1582070400/1582156800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198344336412#!/compare/1582156800/1582243200

Gambled afterwards.

#2

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198042190500#!/compare/1588896000/1589500800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198337734785#!/compare/1588809600/1588896000

#3

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198388105049#!/compare/1587168000/1587340800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198850274253#!/compare/1587081600/1587168000

#4

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198850274253#!/compare/1588291200/1588377600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198004848984#!/compare/1588377600/1588550400

#5

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198337734785#!/compare/1583193600/1583280000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199017926833#!/compare/1583193600/1583280000

Gambled afterwards.

#6

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198020673987#!/compare/1584489600/1584662400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198311498888#!/compare/1584403200/1584489600

#7

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198241893988 - won’t update

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198983255976#!/compare/1588118400/1588291200

#8

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198983255976#!/compare/1588291200/1588377600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198850274253#!/compare/1588204800/1588291200

#9

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198850274253#!/compare/1588550400/1588636800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198305494036#!/compare/1588550400/1588636800

https://i.imgur.com/k0HiiKg.png - labelled as 7 keys + 23 ref

#10

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198305494036#!/compare/1588896000/1588982400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198337734785#!/compare/1588896000/1588982400

https://i.imgur.com/k0HiiKg.png - labelled as 6 keys + 36 ref

A group of keys and metal match using Near ID, but I’m pretty sure that’s a coincidence. It’s likely that the bot owner withdrew and sold to Zol, or someone else bought off the bot and sold it to Zol, so the IDs matching wouldn’t make sense.

#11

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198119505019#!/compare/1582156800/1582243200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198850274253#!/compare/1582070400/1582156800

#12

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198850274253#!/compare/1582070400/1582156800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198271049443#!/compare/1579132800/1582156800

Gambled afterwards.

#13

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198100644790#!/compare/1582243200/1582329600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198311498888#!/compare/1582243200/1582329600

#14

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198311498888#!/compare/1582243200/1582329600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198878948902#!/compare/1582243200/1582329600

#15

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198878948902#!/compare/1582934400/1583020800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198850274253#!/compare/1582934400/1583020800

15 keys match, another unusual was most likely involved. May have been the other Dead Cone, but I can’t confirm. Gambled afterwards.

#16

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198031386947#!/compare/1583107200/1583193600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198850274253#!/compare/1583107200/1583193600

#17

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198850274253#!/compare/1583107200/1583193600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198281630040#!/compare/1583107200/1583193600

Gambled afterwards.

#18

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198020673987#!/compare/1584489600/1584662400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198850274253#!/compare/1584403200/1584489600

#19

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198850274253#!/compare/1587772800/1587859200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198110720167#!/compare/1587859200/1587945600

#20

Bulk for Wicked Wood El Zapateador

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198110720167#!/compare/1588032000/1588118400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198850895547#!/compare/1588032000/1588118400

#21 & #22

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198850895547#!/compare/1588204800/1588291200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198305494036#!/compare/1588118400/1588204800

https://i.imgur.com/k0HiiKg.png - labelled as 7 keys + 23 ref

The buyer later re-sold, but the next in history is a mannco bot, so it sold to someone that didn’t have their backpack scanned with the item in it.

https://i.imgur.com/k0HiiKg.png - labelled as 7 keys + 30 ref

#23

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198813326440#!/compare/1583020800/1583107200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198049013101#!/compare/1583020800/1583107200

#24

Sold for Orbiting Fire Telefragger’s Toque

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198049013101#!/compare/1583452800/1583539200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198403959663#!/compare/1583539200/1584403200

Buyers at 11+ keys for any effect on the Toque. Too high here, too low there.

#25

SCM

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198004517334#!/compare/1582329600/1582502400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198326729526#!/compare/1582502400/1582675200

https://steamcommunity.com/market/listings/440/Unusual%20Dead%20Cone - not gonna be easy to determine which sale it was, 2 sales occurred at around the same time.

#26

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198850274253#!/compare/1583020800/1583107200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198138322150#!/compare/1583020800/1583107200

#27

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198138322150#!/compare/1583107200/1583193600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198986119166#!/compare/1583280000/1584835200

Sellers:

https://i.imgur.com/NuPLZ8P.png

https://backpack.tf/item/7957048131 - 10 keys

https://backpack.tf/item/7956882479 - 10.5 keys

Sales at:

7

8 (3x)

9 (2x)

10.5

10.5 looks like a bit of an outlier, and there is a seller for cheaper. Excluding 10.5. Would’ve included it if the sale was a pure sale though.

Taking 7-9.