Sale 1:

Sold for 9 keys + more than half a key in metal

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197999873164#!/compare/1581811200/1582070400

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198397948526#!/compare/1581638400/1582156800

https://backpack.tf/item/2601855508

10 keys

Sale 2:

Sold for 9 keys?

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198358296372#!/compare/1586131200/1586217600

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198040186479#!/compare/1586131200/1586217600

https://backpack.tf/item/4124685855

https://i.imgur.com/zeplN6T.png - bot.tf confirms

The buyer listed doesn’t show up in the hat’s history, but given that the hat was listed on marketplace, and the buyer is known to sell stuff frequently on marketplace, I don’t doubt that the group of 9 keys on the seller’s end was for this hat.

9 keys

Sale 3:

Sold for 7 keys + 12 ref (Buyer’s end)

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198867206652#!/compare/1585958400/1586131200

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198358296372#!/compare/1585872000/1585958400

https://backpack.tf/item/4124685855

https://i.imgur.com/zeplN6T.png - Bot.tf confirms

7 keys

Marketplace Sales:

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/778;5;u57

$23.99, Feb 25th

$23.99, March 4th

$20, March 24th

$22.99, April 25th

$22.99, May 5th

$23.99, May 7th

No snapshots available for the first 3 sales

https://backpack.tf/item/7956348090 - Probably March 4th

http://manic.tf/keyprice?at=2020-03-04&price=23.99 - $23.99 / $1.68 = 14.28 keys

https://backpack.tf/item/7956750456 - March 24th

http://manic.tf/keyprice?at=2020-03-24&price=20 - $20 / $1.68 = 11.90 keys

https://backpack.tf/item/4124685855 - April 25th

http://manic.tf/keyprice?at=2020-04-25&price=22.99 - $22.99 / $1.79 = 12.84 keys

https://bot.tf/stats/listings/Y5ZJ1GR2 - B/O of 14 (Vincentius)

Couldn’t find the remaining histories.

http://manic.tf/keyprice?at=2020-02-25&price=23.99 - $23.99 / $1.77 = 13.55 keys

http://manic.tf/keyprice?at=2020-05-05&price=22.99 - $22.99 / $1.88 = 12.23 keys

https://bot.tf/stats/listings/MQ0QO9R1 - No important B/O

http://manic.tf/keyprice?at=2020-05-07&price=23.99 - $23.99 / $1.88 = 12.76 keys

https://bot.tf/stats/listings/MVQ3PL96 - No important B/O

After rounding, we have:

12 keys (2x)

13 keys (2x)

14 keys (2x)

Other Sales:

https://backpack.tf/item/7956348090 (#1)

https://backpack.tf/item/4124685855 (#2)

https://backpack.tf/item/2648718023 (#3)

https://backpack.tf/item/7956750456 (#4-6)

https://backpack.tf/item/7956962031 - mannco bots

https://backpack.tf/item/7955545459 - tradeit bots

#1

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198103175187#!/compare/1582675200/1582761600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198105515914#!/compare/1583280000/1583625600

Definitely looks like it sold for 9 keys, though it doesn’t look like the 2nd link was the buyer. May have sold to someone that instantly listed on marketplace, given the item that matches with it on the buyer’s end came from marketplace too.

#2

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198337734785#!/compare/1585526400/1585612800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198867206652#!/compare/1585526400/1585612800

#3

Untraceable, most likely bulk for pure

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198083134207#!/compare/1588291200/1588377600

Seller isn’t traceable. It’s likely that the items came from a suspicious account.

#4

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198080179568#!/compare/1583539200/1583625600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198141739386#!/compare/1583539200/1583625600

#5

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198211892779#!/compare/1588204800/1588550400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198447257724#!/compare/1588464000/1588550400

https://i.imgur.com/zeplN6T.png - Labelled as almost 8 keys

#6

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198447257724#!/compare/1588723200/1588809600

Buyer hasn’t been scanned

https://i.imgur.com/zeplN6T.png - Labelled as ~9.5 keys.

Sellers:

https://i.imgur.com/QPtIJUi.png

https://backpack.tf/item/2648718023 - 15 keys

Sales at:

7

9

10

12 (2x)

13 (2x)

14 (2x)

Buyers at ~8.5 keys, excluding 7.

Taking 9-14.