https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/30976;5;u8

$59.99 / $1.73 = 34.68 keys

$69.99 / $1.73 = 40.46 keys

$69.99 / $1.70 = 41.17 keys

$55.00 / $1.79 = 30.73 keys

$69.99 / $1.79 = 39.10 keys

$80.00 / $1.82 = 43.96 keys

$64.99 / $1.85 = 35.13 keys

$69.99 / $1.90 = 36.84 keys

$69.00 / $1.89 = 36.51 keys

https://backpack.tf/item/6744284076

//

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198173567891#!/compare/1587081600/1587513600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198085108841#!/compare/1587340800/1587513600

Untraceable

//

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198085108841#!/compare/1589760000/1589846400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198099686112#!/compare/1589760000/1589846400

30 keys

//

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198099686112#!/compare/1589846400/1589932800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198143791872#!/compare/1589846400/1589932800

Strange Festivized Killstreak Australium Scattergun

Not Spec KS, it was changed to Spec KS after it was received, which is why near ID doesn't work on it

Sale = 28 keys

https://gyazo.com/a8d8a081aaa52b499fc991c121eda838

//

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198086948995#!/compare/1589673600/1589760000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198034755171#!/compare/1589673600/1589760000

Omniscient Orb Caribou Companion, the Caribou went into Marketplace after that

An unknown amount of keys may have been added to the Caribou

https://gyazo.com/70cd6fecac33d887016438cf585ca8cb

Better used there

//

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198042711548#!/compare/1583798400/1584489600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198809414908#!/compare/1584403200/1584489600

29 keys

//

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198809414908#!/compare/1585612800/1585699200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198803307242#!/compare/1585440000/1585699200

Everything leaving the second compare link, which is

Sunbeams Sky High Fly Guy - Sold for 18 keys same day, near ID 8634773404 first compare link https://backpack.tf/item/8313690380

12 keys sweets

Sale = 30 keys

//

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198803307242#!/compare/1586476800/1586736000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198071647163#!/compare/1586390400/1586908800

Added Double Spelled Spec KS Carbonado Rocket for Strange Twisted Radiance Sky Fly Guy

Using there

//

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198071647163#!/compare/1586908800/1587600000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198087195582#!/compare/1587427200/1587513600

Aces High Large Luchadore - 18.5 keys https://backpack.tf/suggestion/5eb48c8f42b0794fc838ac36

Stormy Storm Larrikin Robin - Pretty much 8 keys https://gyazo.com/b4cc7382bf8856e064fdd42f73407cef

Mystical Medley Convict Cap - 7-10 keys https://gyazo.com/b9c4a59fb0a798f134c8128d2575da20

38 key buyout https://bot.tf/stats/listings/Y5ZJVKP2

Will end in range regardless

//

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198087195582#!/compare/1587513600/1587600000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198418740133#!/compare/1587513600/1587600000

Looks like the 2 rifles were exchanged (going to cancel those out)

Tundra sold for Cauldron Bubbles Slo-Poke

Slo-Poke is 30.5 keys https://backpack.tf/suggestion/5eab92207dec3a087370a5c0

//

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198221777872#!/compare/1584921600/1585008000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199005803152#!/compare/1584921600/1585008000

Untraceable

//

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199005803152#!/compare/1584921600/1585008000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198341171690#!/compare/1584921600/1585008000

Quicksold to bot for 14 keys + 20 refined

//

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198341171690#!/compare/1585267200/1585353600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197973915883#!/compare/1583193600/1585440000

28 keys

//

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197973915883#!/compare/1586563200/1587340800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198305494036#!/compare/1586563200/1586649600

Untraceable

//

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198064240625#!/compare/1588291200/1588550400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198065400580#!/compare/1588118400/1588377600

Added 70 keys for Burning Tundra Top, better used there

//

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198065400580#!/compare/1588982400/1589328000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198974941662#!/compare/1589241600/1589500800

33 keys

//

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198053557223#!/compare/1587340800/1589328000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198197962410#!/compare/1587168000/1587340800

Untraceable

//

Sales:

28

28

29

30

30

31

31

33

35

35

37

37

39

40

41

44

Classified sellers:

https://gyazo.com/ee3a1ae8803429baa793f611b093f532

None

Marketplace sellers:

https://gyazo.com/dbe3a97019542b84473e6ca23c5ceaa2

$69.99 - $75.00, approximately 37-42 keys

Buyers at 28 keys

Pure sales or close to pure sales:

28

28

29

30

30

33

Pure sales are lower than Marketplace sales, but excluding everything above 33 is too many data points to exclude

Although $69.99/37 keys is young, going to go with 30-40 keys for balance