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I like Polar
Polar works with Cashew, all credits to Cashew
Sellers: - https://gyazo.com/3fdbbb621d3809790a28f5c52eb651b9
https://backpack.tf/item/8065007571 - 1 Day @ 14 Keys
https://backpack.tf/item/7367742959 - 3 Days @ 14 Keys
Sale 1)
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198872796421#!/compare/1583798400/1583884800
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198088038722#!/compare/1583798400/1583884800 - Bulky
Sale 2)
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198872796421#!/compare/1586476800/1586649600
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198439248806#!/compare/1585785600/1586563200 - Sold for a Festive Spirit Taunt: I See You (5) + 7 Keys = (12) Keys
Sale 3)
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198283719000#!/compare/1583712000/1583798400
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198088038722#!/compare/1583712000/1583798400 - Untrace
Sale 4)
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198061779536#!/compare/1583625600/1583712000
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198283719000#!/compare/1569715200/1583712000 - Sold for a Vivid Plasma Tippler's Tricorne (>11) + ~5 Keys - Caps at Buyout
Buyout was (16) Keys - https://bot.tf/stats/listings/46N5QVLZ
Sale 5)
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198442349647#!/compare/1588204800/1588291200
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198817647410#!/compare/1588291200/1588377600 - Sold for 8 Keys, Low Compared to Buyers
Sale 6)
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198394345037#!/compare/1588377600/1588464000
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198817647410#!/compare/1588464000/1588550400 - Sold for (11) Keys
Sale 7)
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198799983169#!/compare/1586390400/1586476800
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198017164647#!/compare/1586649600/1586822400 - Untrace
Sale 8)
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198337734785#!/compare/1588118400/1588204800
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198142619531#!/compare/1588118400/1588204800 - Sold for (11) Keys
Sale 9)
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198142619531#!/compare/1588204800/1588291200
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198253835120#!/compare/1588204800/1588291200 - Untrace
Sale 10)
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198389129235#!/compare/1588896000/1589068800
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198385160220#!/compare/1588896000/1588982400 - Low
Sale 11)
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198385160220#!/compare/1588982400/1589068800
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198282873040#!/compare/1588896000/1588982400 - Untrace
Sales we have are:
11, 11, 12 and 16
Mid-point is under unsolds. Sellers are young. Might exclude 16 if unsolds matured
Thanks =)
Sale 8 was likely 11 keys 30 ref
https://bot.tf/stats/listings/MVQN938E - Buyout was 11 keys 30 ref
Sale 2 is no longer valid due to the mini being closed
Sale 4 is definitely too high given the maturity of current sellers
Bot.tf stats
https://bot.tf/stats/item?def=30958&q=5&ef=Vivid%20Plasma&craft=1&aus=0&ks=0&source=browser_script
https://imgur.com/a/9vqU8Hl
Sold
1x 9
2x 10
1x 11
Buys
2x 8.5
2x 9
1x 10.5
Other new sales:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198311968999#!/compare/1591142400/1591228800
https://bot.tf/stats/listings/429337EQ - B/O was 13
https://backpack.tf/suggestion/5ef42ad05c8391312d2ed9ea
Aces Bunsen (7.75, open sugg) + 6
Caps at 13
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198203811797#!/compare/1592265600/1592352000
10 keys
That gives sales at
8.5 (x2)
9 (x3)
10 (x2)
10.5
11 (x2)
11.5
13
16
Buyers up to 9, maybe 10-13 for a conservative drop? Could make an argument for including 9 tho despite the buy orders though. Id wait for a mod comment on which is preferable
With 3 data points at 9 Keys I will resuggest at 9-13
Huge thanks for the help!