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Leave me to dream..
Sale 1: Sold for 19 keys
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198197292179#!/compare/1590019200/1590278400
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198004311443#!/compare/1590105600/1590192000
Sale 2: Unknown
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198375290326#!/compare/1582675200/1582934400
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198370756100#!/compare/1582848000/1582934400
Sale 3: Unknown
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198370756100#!/compare/1583107200/1583193600
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198081945327#!/compare/1482105600/1583280000
Sale 4: Sold for atleast 4 keys
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198314296893#!/compare/1583971200/1584057600
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198060887042#!/compare/1583712000/1584057600
Classifieds:
https://gyazo.com/9c28691c32567069f82db008ed4561d3
One sale at 19. Taking 19 keys here.
Sale 4 was probably 20 keys https://bot.tf/stats/listings/MVQ1XLNE - B/O was 20. Now outdated however.
New sales:
https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/627;5;u35
$39.99 / $1.97 = 20.30 keys
$30 / $1.98 = 15.15 keys
Bot.tf sales
https://bot.tf/stats/item?def=627&q=5&ef=Smoking&craft=1&aus=0&ks=0&source=browser_script
https://imgur.com/a/sgM5kn8
Purchase at 13, sale at 16
That gives sales at:
13
15
16
19
20
13 was sold to a buy order so I would exclude that and go 15 - 20
I do not like to assume the sale, whether it is a bot or human, it's better to use those kinds of sales as support (as they are not confirmed), and not to be the main sale of either ends of the range.
As for outdated sales, if the suggestion is made before the sale is outdated, I would still say it's usable.
Anyways, once again, thank you for the update, will resuggest at the suggested range!