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https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/30026;5;u31
$22.99 / $1.87 = 12.29 keys
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https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198055475812#!/compare/1588550400/1588809600
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198280434589#!/compare/1588464000/1588550400
Static Mist Taunt: Zoomin' Broom - 11.5 keys https://backpack.tf/suggestion/5ecd7878e2ad2e14b2639536
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https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198035835966#!/compare/1586908800/1586995200
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198135388328#!/compare/1586908800/1586995200
Untraceable
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https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198135388328#!/compare/1588291200/1588377600
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198280434589#!/compare/1588377600/1588464000
9 keys leaving the 2nd compare
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Going with 9-12 keys
Some new sales.
Untrace
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198099132915#!/compare/1592265600/1592438400
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198382290208#!/compare/1592438400/1592352000
Bulk/Untrace
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198011321852#!/compare/1591315200/1591488000
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198099132915#!/compare/1591228800/1591401600
Sold for 9.58 on June 5, 2020 (9.58/1.96 = 4.89 rounding to 5 keys)
https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/30026;5;u31
https://backpack.tf/item/4778674447
These new sales don't change anything, however, your low end is based off a scraptf sale. I think that would be low.
The drill hat was in scrap for 2 weeks, so it didn't quicksell. Assuming the sale is traceable it should be usable.
My worry is that there is a decent amount going on in the compare, so it might not be exactly 9 keys. So I did some detective work regarding scrap.tf's pricing algorithm:
Keep in mind scrap values stuff at low end not mid:
https://imgur.com/a/A9iiBWa
They are selling 2 13 key nuts hats for 9 keys 8.44 ref (Tyrolean, Wet Works)
They are selling a 12 key nuts hat for 8 keys 51.22 (hound dog)
They are selling 11 key nuts hats for 8 keys 30.66 ref (Guad) and 2 more for 8 keys 10.22 ref (brain interface and climbing) seems like they value case hats lower
Nuts pyro's beanie has a low end of 10.25 and is sold for 8 keys 20.44 ref
Anyways basically what I am trying to get at is that the drill hat would most likely of been sold for 8 keys 30.66 ref like the guad, with the leftover ref being spent on something else that same day
8.5+12/2 = 10.25, meaning that since the mean is above 10, 8.5 should be rounded to 9.
Honestly 12 looks high but with two sales at that point it should be included, making this sugg fine as-is.