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my first not usual suggestion
https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/1117;5;u3009
sales since april
apr 1
3.61/1.69 ~ 2.1k lower than bot b/o
apr 5
4.4/1.69 ~ 2.6k
3 sales at apr 7
4/1.69 ~ 2.35 k
apr 22
5/1.75 ~ 2.85k
apr 23
3.51/1.77 ~2k lower than bot b/o
apr 25
5/1.79 ~ 2.8k
apr 29
3.8/1.82 ~2.1k lower than bot b/o
may 5
3.8/1.88 ~2k lower than bot b/o
may 6
4.95/1.89 ~2.6k
may 7
4.95/1.88 ~ 2.6k
2 sales at may 8
4.95/1.89 ~2.6k
may 9
4.95/1.89 ~2.6k
mine sale yesterday may 27
5/1.92 ~2,6k
bot.tf stats for past 30/90 days
https://prnt.sc/span5e
may 5 @2k 24 ref ~ 2.45k
may 23 @2k 24 ref ~ 2.45k
there is sales at 2.8, 2.85k in april, but there is more recent sales at 2.6k in may, so price range should be 2.45-2.6k
you need to include item history for mp sales, also there are item sales