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This hat's price is as old as me. Random Fact #14: My first suggestion in 4 years, anything wrong please don't hesitate to guide and help me.
Resuggesting due to outdated price of one of the bulk sales. (Thanks renshin)
Cheers to Vrakos Anthrakir for correction.
Trade 1:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198169908491#!/compare/1587859200/1587945600
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198380769556#!/compare/1587859200/1587945600
Electrostatic Hard Counter (12 keys) + KAW Vintage Tyrolean (x) + 1 key + Strange Amby (5 ref after rounding) for Miami Nights Hat of Cards (outdated price, mini below)
Miami Hat mini:
https://backpack.tf/suggestion/5ecfe2d73fa5421f623cc1a4 (active price suggestion)
Hat of cards is suggested to 21.5 keys, rounding to 22.
12+x+1+0.1 = 22
x=9
Trade 2:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198148725058#!/compare/1587513600/1587600000
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198967088046#!/compare/1587513600/1587600000
Purple Confetti Antarctic Eyewear (12 keys)+ 1 key for KAW Vintage Tyrolean
12+1=13
13 keys.
Trade 3:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198380769556#!/compare/1588032000/1588118400
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198076041959#!/compare/1588032000/1588118400
Genuine Pro KS Original (valued at 10 keys) +2 keys for KAW Vintage Tyrolean
10+2=12
Sale 1:
https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/101;5;u56
Sold for 25 USD on 8th May
1.89 USD/Key
25/1.89=13.2 keys, rounding to 13.
Range set at 9-13.
A couple sales you missed (don't blame you these are confusing)
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198048832551#!/compare/1586995200/1587859200
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199013338126#!/compare/1587254400/1587340800
Sold for 11 keys 20 ref and a salty dog (~2.33 ref)
X = 11.5
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199013338126#!/compare/1587254400/1587340800
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198148725058#!/compare/1587254400/1587340800
Then resold the same day for a PFetti AA (10, indate) + 1 key (ID's match)
10 + 1 = 11
This is confusing because Duke Pyron is not in the history of the Tyro because he sold it so quickly. He should be between Fighter and little man
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198967088046#!/compare/1587600000/1587686400
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198117633845#!/compare/1587600000/1587686400
Sold for 11 pure
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198117633845#!/compare/1587686400/1587772800
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198169908491#!/compare/1587513600/1587772800
Seems to of re-sold for 11 again
B/O was 13 in trade 2 (doesn't change anything)
https://bot.tf/stats/listings/Y5ZJPW32
I wouldn't use the hat of cards sale because it is too bulky.
That leaves sales at
11 (x3)
11.5
12
13 (x2)
11-13 works here