Re-suggesting, new sale.

Sale 1:

Sold for 8 keys + around half a key in metal

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198850274253#!/compare/1587254400/1587340800

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198099065708#!/compare/1549584000/1588377600

https://backpack.tf/item/7957228769

8.5 keys

Sale 2:

Sold for 8 keys

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198841279602#!/compare/1590624000/1590710400

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198351754287#!/compare/1556841600/1590710400

https://backpack.tf/item/2937128663

https://i.imgur.com/qdIRc1V.png - B/O of ~8 keys

8 keys

Sale 3:

Sold for 6 keys + around half a key in metal

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198136966751#!/compare/1583625600/1583884800

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198155110999#!/compare/1583798400/1583884800

https://backpack.tf/item/2429815377

6.5 keys

(was probably actually 7.5 keys, but this is gonna end up being excluded anyways)

Marketplace Sales:

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/109;5;u57

$20, Feb 27th

$20, May 13th

$19.99, May 19th

$19.99, May 24th

No snapshots available. Couldn’t find any of the histories.

http://manic.tf/keyprice?at=2020-02-27&price=20 - $20 / $1.76 = 11.36 keys

http://manic.tf/keyprice?at=2020-05-13&price=20 - $20 / $1.90 = 10.53 keys

http://manic.tf/keyprice?at=2020-05-19&price=19.99 - $19.99 / $1.89 = 10.58 keys

http://manic.tf/keyprice?at=2020-05-24&price=19.99 - $19.99 / $1.88 = 10.63 keys

After rounding, we have:

10.5 keys (3x)

11.5 keys

Other Sales:

https://backpack.tf/item/7957228769 (#1)

https://backpack.tf/item/3655955850 (#2 & #3)

https://backpack.tf/item/2937128663 (#4-8)

https://backpack.tf/item/2429815377 (#9 & #10)

#1

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198155348538 - backpack won’t update

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198850274253#!/compare/1586736000/1586822400

#2

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198084660530#!/compare/1587340800/1587427200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198337734785#!/compare/1587254400/1587340800

#3

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198337734785#!/compare/1589414400/1589500800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198881753232#!/compare/1589500800/1590105600

#4

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198441307552#!/compare/1589068800/1590537600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198841279602#!/compare/1588982400/1589068800

#5

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198441307552#!/compare/1589068800/1590537600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198841279602#!/compare/1589760000/1589846400

#6

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198841279602#!/compare/1589846400/1589932800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198267575845#!/compare/1589760000/1590451200

#7

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198267575845#!/compare/1590451200/1590537600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198841279602#!/compare/1590364800/1590451200

5 keys + about half a key in metal matches. Most likely sold for 7 keys + the metal

#8

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198351754287 - Won’t update, but fallback shows nothing

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198080909224#!/compare/1590537600/1590624000

#9

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198337734785#!/compare/1583539200/1583625600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198136966751#!/compare/1583539200/1583625600

#10

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198080179568#!/compare/1589068800/1589155200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198337734785#!/compare/1589068800/1589155200

Sellers:

https://i.imgur.com/cSUB76B.png

https://backpack.tf/item/2429815377 - ~9 keys

https://backpack.tf/item/2937128663 - 10 keys

https://backpack.tf/item/3655955850 - 10.5 keys

Sales at:

6.5

8

8.5

10.5 (3x)

11.5

6.5 is low, excluding.

2 sellers for fairly cheaper than the marketplace sales at 10.5 and 11.5 keys. Excluding 10.5 and higher.

Average price of non-outlier sales is below 10 keys, so we round to the nearest 0.5 keys.

Taking 8-8.5.