Scorching Flames Safe'n'Sound

New price: 79-88 keys

Proof:

Sale #1 (2 months) = 70

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198007858078#!/compare/1585612800/1585699200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198002186909#!/compare/1585526400/1585699200

Sold for 70 keys.

Sale #2 (2 months) = invalid

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198002186909#!/compare/1585526400/1585699200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198050745352#!/compare/1585612800/1585699200

Untrace.

Sale #3 (2 months) = 93

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198050745352#!/compare/1585612800/1585699200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198334765018#!/compare/1585526400/1585699200

Sold for orb fire beak (93). Mini below.

No b/o found.

Sale #4 (2 months) = invalid

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198334765018#!/compare/1586736000/1586908800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198103899658#!/compare/1586649600/1587081600

Sold for a frostbite scotch bonnet + 5 keys. Should be used there.

Sale #5 (2 months) = 84

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198103899658#!/compare/1587081600/1587168000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198089910795#!/compare/1587168000/1587513600

Sold for a frostbite sola topi (43.5) + 40 keys = 83.5.

No b/o found.

Sale #6 (1 month) = invalid

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198119206641#!/compare/1589673600/1589760000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198177872379#!/compare/1589673600/1589760000

Probably incomplete.

Sale #7 (2 months) = invalid

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198353268162#!/compare/1586563200/1586649600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198131081286#!/compare/1586476800/1586563200

Sold for a ge stove pipe + a peace sign shanter + gfetti combustible kabuto + 2 keys + ~10 ref sweets. No mini for the shanter possible.

Sale #8 (2 months) = 81

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198131081286#!/compare/1586649600/1586736000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198017656390#!/compare/1586649600/1586736000

Sold for 78 keys + a kazotsky kick (~2.5) = 80.5.

Sale #9 (2 weeks) = 79

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198305494036#!/compare/1589932800/1590019200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198061779536#!/compare/1589932800/1590019200

Sold for 79 keys.

Sale #10 (1 week) = 79

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198061779536#!/compare/1591056000/1591142400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198137566942#!/compare/1590969600/1591056000

Sold for 79 keys.

Sale #11 (fresh) = 88

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198137566942#!/compare/1591315200/1591401600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198078709671#!/compare/1591315200/1591574400

https://imgur.com/a/ul7Qqb1

Sold with 1 key for a sunbeams dappers (85.5) + a max's (18) = 102.5. Mini below.

https://bot.tf/stats/listings/YD1EWN55

Capped by b/o at 88.

Marketplace.tf sales:

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/178;5;u14

Using http://manic.tf/keyprice/

Sale #1 (2 months) Sold for 141$ = ~83

No history found.

No b/o found.

Sale #2 (1 month) Sold for 155.56$ = ~82

https://backpack.tf/item/3902603685

No b/o found.

Sale #3 (fresh) Sold for 229.99$ = ~117

https://backpack.tf/item/3902603685

No b/o found.

Classies:

https://imgur.com/a/H2dILYe

New seller at 80, others at 87 and 100. Buyers start at 78.

_________________________________________________________

Minis

orb fire beak

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198002757046#!/compare/1587686400/1587772800

Sold for 85 keys.

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/315;5;u33

Sold for 174.99$ = ~104 keys.

Sold for 168.30$ = ~95 keys.

Sold for 160$ = ~86 keys.

Sold for 153.27$ = ~82 keys.

Sold for 199.99$ = ~101 keys.

Going with 82-104 keys.

sunbeams dappers

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198337734785#!/compare/1590451200/1590537600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198078709671#!/compare/1590451200/1590537600

https://bot.tf/stats/listings/Y5Z6Q5D3

Sold for 85 keys.

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198985910282#!/compare/1587254400/1587340800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198098239304#!/compare/1586304000/1588032000

Sold for 86 keys.

Going with 85-86 keys.

_________________________________________________________

SUMMARY

Sales:

70 x1

79 x2

81 x1

82 x1

83 x1

84 x1

88 x1

93 x1

117 x1

70 is low.

117 is high.

With the number of sales at 79-84, including 93 would make this too high. Excluding 93.

Going with 79-88 keys.

Feel free to add proof to support or counter my new price.