Sale 1:

Sold for Blizzardy Storm Brain Warming Wear (~9.75)

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198279945031#!/compare/1586995200/1587081600

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198217385159#!/compare/1586995200/1587081600

https://backpack.tf/item/7957226194

https://bot.tf/stats/listings/Y79Q51WL - no B/O

10 keys

Sale 2:

Sold for 8 keys + ~0.5 keys in metal/items

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198130543279#!/compare/1588809600/1588896000

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198291796811#!/compare/1588809600/1588896000

https://backpack.tf/item/7957315907

Keys used to buy the DBD Hive before the keys were scanned.

8.5 keys

Sale 3:

Sold for 8 keys + ~0.5 keys in metal

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198337734785#!/compare/1586563200/1586649600

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198045950906#!/compare/1586649600/1586908800

https://backpack.tf/item/7955953245

8.5 keys

Sale 4:

Sold for 8 keys + around half a key in ref?

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198850274253#!/compare/1589673600/1589760000

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198976258287#!/compare/1589760000/1589846400

https://backpack.tf/item/7956833103

https://bot.tf/stats/listings/Y79G0E6W - B/O was ~7.75

It’s likely that their price updated on their site, and not here. Dunno. Haven’t used their site before.

8.5 keys

Sale 5:

Sold for 7 keys + 15 ref

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198305494036#!/compare/1586995200/1587081600

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198160856661#!/compare/1586995200/1587081600

https://backpack.tf/item/7957226194

https://i.imgur.com/yMjjckQ.png - bot.tf confirms

I believe the buyer re-sold on marketplace for $15.80 on April 27th afterwards, no B/O though. Was gambled after that purchase.

7.5 keys

Sale 6:

Sold with half a key in metal for 8 keys

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197982127154#!/compare/1586995200/1587081600

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198183708005#!/compare/1586995200/1587081600

https://backpack.tf/item/7955953245

7.5 keys

Sale 7:

Sold for 7 keys + 5 ref

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198217385159#!/compare/1586995200/1587081600

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198305494036#!/compare/1586995200/1587081600

https://backpack.tf/item/7957226194

https://i.imgur.com/yMjjckQ.png - bot.tf confirms

7 keys

Sale 8:

Sold for ~6.5 keys

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198279945329#!/compare/1585180800/1585267200

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198314211872#!/compare/1585180800/1585267200

https://backpack.tf/item/7956167431

https://i.imgur.com/yMjjckQ.png - bot.tf confirms

6.5 keys

Marketplace Sales:

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/30182;5;u57

$15.80, April 14th

$15.80, April 23rd

$15.80, April 27th

$16.40, May 6th

$19.99, May 13th

$19.99, May 26th

$20, June 8th

https://backpack.tf/item/7955760234 - April 14th or April 23rd

Couldn’t find the remaining histories.

http://manic.tf/keyprice?at=2020-04-14&price=15.8 - $15.8 / $1.75 = 9.03 keys

https://bot.tf/stats/listings/4KVJ2DLX - no important B/O

http://manic.tf/keyprice?at=2020-04-23&price=15.8 - $15.8 / $1.77 = 8.93 keys

https://bot.tf/stats/listings/MLV6O6J5 - No important B/O

http://manic.tf/keyprice?at=2020-04-27&price=15.8 - $15.8 / $1.82 = 8.68 keys

https://bot.tf/stats/listings/MVQ7VZ1W - No important B/O

http://manic.tf/keyprice?at=2020-05-06&price=16.4 - $16.4 / $1.89 = 8.68 keys

https://bot.tf/stats/listings/429W52N5 - No important B/O

http://manic.tf/keyprice?at=2020-05-13&price=19.99 - $19.99 / $1.90 = 10.52 keys

https://bot.tf/stats/listings/MGLJ0X17 - Most likely the 10 key seller

http://manic.tf/keyprice?at=2020-05-26&price=19.99 - $19.99 / $1.93 = 10.36 keys

https://bot.tf/stats/listings/MXXRR3LP - was the 1st 10 key seller. Listing disappears shortly after the sale and they have marketplace linked to their account.

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/5021;6 - $20 / $1.98 = 10.10 keys

https://bot.tf/stats/listings/4O93PE3Q - No B/O

After rounding, we have:

8.5 keys (2x)

9 keys (2x)

10 keys (3x, 2 capped by B/O)

Other Sales:[/b]

https://backpack.tf/item/7957315907 (#1-7)

https://backpack.tf/item/7956833103 (#8)

https://backpack.tf/item/7956167431 (#9)

https://backpack.tf/item/7955953245 (#10-15)

https://backpack.tf/item/2391219693 (#16 & #17)

https://backpack.tf/item/3824001670 - site bots

https://backpack.tf/item/7957192931 - scrap

#1

Sold for ~6.5 keys?

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198174264905#!/compare/1584316800/1584403200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198337734785#!/compare/1584316800/1584403200

Seems a little unlikely it was this low. Was most likely 7.5 keys, but can’t confirm. If I’m wrong, this’ll be too low anyways.

#2

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198337734785#!/compare/1584489600/1584576000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198203896233#!/compare/1584489600/1584576000

Gambled afterwards.

#3

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198020673987#!/compare/1584835200/1584921600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198850274253#!/compare/1584748800/1584835200

#4

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198850274253#!/compare/1587340800/1587427200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198130543279#!/compare/1588723200/1588809600

Could’ve been marketplace

#5

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198291796811#!/compare/1588896000/1589155200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198817843697#!/compare/1588809600/1588896000

Probably missing a person in the history

#6

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198817843697#!/compare/1589328000/1589414400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198337734785#!/compare/1589328000/1589414400

#7

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198337734785#!/compare/1589328000/1589414400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198019273898#!/compare/1589414400/1589500800

7 keys match. Would’ve sold for ~7.5-8 keys, based off of what the listings were like at the time, as well as what the seller’s site bot was selling for:

https://bot.tf/stats/listings/MGLGLL2W

None of the ref on the buyer’s end matches, it almost looks as if they bought a key with metal, sold the key back for metal, then bought the hat.

#8

Untraceable/bulk for pure

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198020673987#!/compare/1588809600/1589155200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198850274253#!/compare/1589068800/1589155200

#9

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198334598690#!/compare/1588809600/1588896000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198829890552#!/compare/1590019200/1590278400 - no good compare

Doesn’t show up on bot.tf stats.

After looking into B/Os for the marketplace sales, it appears this was the May 13th sale.

#10

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198257268785#!/compare/1586217600/1592179200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198337734785#!/compare/1586390400/1586476800

#11

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198045950906#!/compare/1586908800/1586995200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197982127154#!/compare/1586995200/1587081600

#12

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198183708005#!/compare/1587081600/1587168000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198305494036#!/compare/1587081600/1587168000

https://i.imgur.com/yMjjckQ.png - labelled as 7 keys + 5 ref on bot.tf

#13

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198305494036#!/compare/1587081600/1587168000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198986950447#!/compare/1588204800/1588723200

https://i.imgur.com/yMjjckQ.png - labelled as 7 keys + 10 ref on bot.tf

Missing a person in the history

#14

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198986950447#!/compare/1588896000/1589500800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199043177646#!/compare/1588896000/1588982400

#15

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199043177646#!/compare/1589673600/1589760000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198260686830#!/compare/1590105600/1590192000

Missing a person in the history. Would’ve sold for either group of keys/metal in the seller’s end.

#16

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198168909159#!/compare/1585440000/1585526400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197984373540#!/compare/1585440000/1585526400

Gambled afterwards.

#17

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198020673987#!/compare/1586563200/1586649600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198850274253#!/compare/1586563200/1586649600

Sellers:

https://i.imgur.com/LLXKkkn.png

https://backpack.tf/item/7955674983 - 10 keys

Sales at:

6.5

7

7.5 (2x)

8.5 (5x)

9 (2x)

10 (4x)

Was considering keeping 7 keys due to how many sales there were at 7 according to bot.tf, but I’ll exclude it for now.

Average price is below 10 keys, so we round to the nearest .5 keys.

Taking 7.5-10.