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~5.5 keys
'72
Unusual Taunt: The Killer Solo '72
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Sale #1

Sold for 6 keys: trade screeshot


Sales #2-9

Marketplace.tf sales

#2 - March 24: 13.99 USD = 8.32 keys

#3 - April 16: 13.99 USD = 7.85 keys

#4 - May 13: 14.99 USD = 7.89 keys

#5 - May 15: 8.70 USD = 4.55 keys

#6 - May 21: 8.30 USD = 4.41 keys

#7 - May 24: 15.00 USD = 7.98 keys

#8 - May 26: 15.00 USD = 7.77 keys

#9 - June 14: 10.00 USD = 5.03 keys

Rounding

1 sold for 8.5 keys

4 sold for 8.0 keys

1 sold for 5.0 keys

2 sold for 4.5 keys


current top bp buyers at 4.5 keys

current top Mp buyers at 10.10 USD = 5.10 keys


Omitting sales #5, 6 and 9. Calling sale #2 an outlier. Not omitting sale #1 because I had the listing up for weeks at 6.5 keys without selling it, dropped the price to 6 keys and sold it in hours. Not sure either to exclude all sales over 6.5 or call sale #1 an outlier. I will just keep both since market seems to behave differently on Mp and bp.


Going with 6-8 keys


I know there were other sellers on bp not so long ago, but I was unable to track them. If you know of other sales, I'd be happy to look into it.

    https://imgur.com/a/xFKdxyr - 2 week unsold @ 6


    More sales:


    https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198311498888#!/compare/1590969600/1591056000

    https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198154208358#!/compare/1590969600/1591056000

    https://stntrading.eu/item/tf2/Unusual+%2772+Taunt%3A+The+Killer+Solo

    Likely sold for 4 keys 50 ref, though I can only trace 4 keys from stn and a few ref from buyers side.

    Supports 5


    https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198252425448#!/compare/1590883200/1590969600

    https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198280693486#!/compare/1590883200/1590969600

    https://bot.tf/stats/listings/YD1E1G0R - buy order was 4 keys 5.11 ref

    Sold to a bot for 4 keys 5.11 ref


    https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198280693486#!/compare/1590969600/1591056000

    https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198047651540#!/compare/1590796800/1591401600

    https://bot.tf/stats/listings/MLV2LX5Z - B/O was 5 keys 13 ref, buyer must of overpaid by 2 ref

    That bot sold for 5 keys 15 ref the next day


    $10.1 / $1.98 = 5.10 keys

    $20 / $1.99 = 10.05 keys

    $16.69 / $1.93 = 8.65

    damn the last 2 are super high


    That gives sales at:

    4

    4.5 (x2)

    5 (x4)

    6

    8 (x4)

    8.5 (x2)

    10


    There is certainly alot of support for 8 as the high end, but I have a feeling that the mods are going to prefer 5 - 6 instead of 5 - 8 because marketplace.tf tends to be high on taunts like this and the highest sale in pure was 6 + the current unsold at 6. If there was a pure sale at 8 I would say go for 5 - 8, but I think 5 - 6 is going to be better here.