Suggestion: Defragmenting Reality El Mostacho at 25 keys

Price Suggestion

~21 keys

defragmenting reality

71 votes up

5 votes down

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This suggestion was closed Tue, 21 Jul 20 14:59:05 +0000 by the submitter.

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Comments

Pricing the unpriced!

Sale: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198095022965#!/compare/1590883200/1590969600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198291007028#!/compare/1590537600/1592179200

25 pure.

Classies: https://i.imgur.com/ZPi7cq6.png. Keeping an eye on the 20 seller. 25 flat for now!

Recent sales at 11 and 15 if i'm right

Where

I myself sold it for 11 keys pure and There was a seller at 15 which kind of dissapeared. It seems My sale is untradeable but yep

Untraceable? Can you link the sale?

I can send a screenshot of the trade of My sale if You wish but i does not appear on My compare backpack

Oh, uhhh you may aswell, yeah. But basically we need to wait on fallback

Here are the sales he is referring to:

Added a Sunbeams Spikey + 2 keys for a Green Energy Connoisseur's Cap (~33, outdated)

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198085880346#!/compare/1594080000/1594166400

https://backpack.tf/suggestion/5f04e9bf5774e56ea9064615 - shuffle confirms sale here

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198992823032#!/compare/1594080000/1594166400

Sold for 11 keys in 1 day

Neither of these sales support 25.

https://bot.tf/stats/listings/4P0O60Q6 - BooBot has been selling at 25 since the start of May, though has owned the item for far longer.

https://backpack.tf/item/8401570092

I feel like your sale might of been a lucky sale and would be an outlier in the context of more usable sales. This might be better left off unpriced, though this will probably be left up a bit longer to see if another sale occurs before a final verdict is made by a price mod.

Mmm, the issue here is that neither of the sales support nor oppose the 25 sale

The connoisseurs sale puts it at ~10 keys, 11 is a quicksell but supports a lower value. These sales certainly don't support 25

They don't necessarily have to support tho, since they don't necessarily oppose it either

Edit: For example, 10 and 11 are clearly closer to buy orders than 25 and 10 is bulk anyway, while 11 is a quicksell

The point here is that there are many other data points that all imply that 25 flat may be really high. As such, it is better to wait for more sales before setting a price here.

But also, the data points are all unusable sales, so technically sale could be reported as is

While setting a range based on those sales is not a good idea, they are still strong indicators that 25 flat is going to be high. Aside from these sales there is mention of sellers at 15, and Im going to assume shuffle paid less himself too, which all really speaks against 25. Hell, even your suggestion has a lower seller

Issue here is that it speaks against 25, but not necessarily, thats why im hesitant on agreeing, but i suppose leaving unpriced is the safest option here at the end of the day.