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https://backpack.tf/item/4990698941
i skip all tradeback and tradeit.gg
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https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198402585890#!/compare/1587340800/1587427200
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198974703657#!/compare/1587081600/1587427200
circling peace sign yule hog + 3 keys
ham is 14.5 keys https://backpack.tf/suggestion/5ef1409d6c757d72d55f8476
i round for 18 keys
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https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198974703657#!/compare/1587600000/1587686400
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198272303212#!/compare/1587600000/1587686400
miami nights berlin bucket helm + like 2.5 keys sweets
berlin is 16.5 keys https://backpack.tf/suggestion/5ef14260613bb26c95459106
i go 19 keys
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https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198272303212#!/compare/1587686400/1587772800
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198207692871#!/compare/1587340800/1587772800
untraceable
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https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198207692871#!/compare/1588032000/1588377600
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198121428749#!/compare/1588291200/1588377600a
untraceable
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https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198121428749#!/compare/1588032000/1588118400
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198880323028#!/compare/1587945600/1588032000
untraceable
//
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198880323028#!/compare/1588204800/1588291200
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198115832035#!/compare/1542585600/1588291200
idk i dont think its the kaw scotman pipe
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https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198115832035#!/compare/1542585600/1588291200
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198054642670#!/compare/1588118400/1588291200
bulk
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https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198054642670#!/compare/1588377600/1588550400
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198411392321#!/compare/1587859200/1588550400
like 10 keys items
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https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198411392321#!/compare/1588723200/1588809600
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198120672630#!/compare/1588636800/1588723200
bulk
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https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198120672630#!/compare/1589155200/1589241600
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198990481631#!/compare/1588896000/1589241600
untraceable
//
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198990481631#!/compare/1589241600/1589328000
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198037674114#!/compare/1587254400/1589932800
untraceable
//
sales
10
18
19
10 looks low
The Yule is 13.5 Keys (14 after my comment there), not 14.5 Keys. That makes the Yule sale 17 Keys.
The Berliner will be 15.5 Keys after my comment there instead of 16.5 Keys. That makes the Berliner sale 18 Keys.
The sale after the Berliner sale was for a Terror-Watt Trencher's Topper
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198206909407#!/compare/1587686400/1587772800 - The buyer's Bat Hat was first sold for the Topper
I still would rather go for a conservative drop to 17 - 18 Keys, since the Trencher looks to be ~12 Keys.