Sale 1 was likely sold to a private inventory, as Johan (quicksale.store bot) does not buy hats for full pure like that. Consequently, the histories and ID do not match. This is a good example of why you want to show both side of the compare, because on Johan's side you would not be able to see the modest

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198850274253#!/compare/1592352000/1592438400

The modest enters Johan's inventory on the 20th in this compare, not the 17th that Miracle sold it:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198850274253#!/compare/1592611200/1592697600

Because the person that paid 69 sold to quicksale.store 3 days later, it seems the buyer regretted their purchase, meaning the sale should not be used.

Sale 3 was not the aussies, they were sold for pure to buy the hat from Stn.tf

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198311498888#!/compare/1585872000/1585958400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198376445034#!/compare/1585612800/1585958400

https://stntrading.eu/item/tf2/Unusual+Burning+Flames+Modest+Metal+Pile+of+Scrap - Sells for 61 keys 43 ref

Compares match 59 keys ~77 ref = pretty close to sale price

= 60

Sale 7 looks like the Beams Tower (open sugg @ 34) + 16 keys + ~12 more (since black box was prob qsed for more pure)

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198025824592#!/compare/1588291200/1588464000

= ~60

In the mp.tf sale, the b/o was 69 https://bot.tf/stats/listings/MLV850D5 (D-Alex)

More sales:

https://imgur.com/a/eiZb5RL - 2 purchases @ ~46, 1 sale @ 49

49 sale:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198305494036#!/compare/1589234400/1589320800 - only 27 match

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198453055175#!/compare/1589068800/1589241600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198236425506#!/compare/1589155200/1589241600 - 81 pure with the gibus, I see 32 in the 2nd compare, 81 - 32 = 49

Theres a floating key on the gibus side in the 2nd compare but theres also a few items in full gibus sale compare, so was prob 49

Took ~2 days to sell

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198850274253#!/compare/1593648000/1593734400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198295228184#!/compare/1593648000/1593820800

https://bot.tf/stats/listings/4EP21G8E - B/O was 59

Sold for 59 keys

X = 59

That gives sales at:

46 (x2)

49

51

59

~60 (tower sale)

60

69

Buyers up to 49 currently https://bot.tf/stats/listings/MLVEKE9Z

https://bot.tf/stats/listings/4R0K2K95 - SUPG has been selling for 68 for over 2 months, 69 is probably high

I would go 51 - 60 here