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I'm in love with the Shako… (resuggest)
Thanks to FishCrimes, who opened pandora’s crate for me with 5 links that provided a lot more info.
Marketplace: 2 sales @ 10k
2 recent sales (past 2mo) at 19.99 (10k)
https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/30326;5;u58
Sale 1 @ 13k high outlier
https://backpack.tf/item/7955748867 (FishCrimes' 1st link)
Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198451325132#!/compare/1587859200/1587945600
Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198334133729#!/compare/1587859200/1589500800
Sold with 0.5k in ref for Stormy Storm Noble Amassment (mini at 13.1k)
13.1-0.5 = 12.6k (high, outlier, see summary)
Sale 2 @ 8.5k
https://backpack.tf/item/5289554418 (FishCrimes' 3rd link)
Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198309760791#!/compare/1590278400/1590364800 - untraceable from this link
Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198336384492#!/compare/1590278400/1590624000
Sold for Aces High Wet Works (mini at 7.5k) + 1k in sweets ( https://backpack.tf/item/6738416927 and https://backpack.tf/item/5893299477 )
7.5 + 1 = 8.5k
Sale 3 @ ~8.5k
https://backpack.tf/item/3947085592 (FishCrimes' 4th link)
Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198169907350#!/compare/1589673600/1589760000 (untraceable from this link)
Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198042556317#!/compare/1589587200/1589673600
https://i.imgur.com/lkPF4BA.png (wrench history doesnt match)
Bought for 8k + 6 ref + uncraft TOD ticket = ~8.5k (slightly more)
Sale 4 @ 7.5k, low outlier (read)
https://backpack.tf/item/3947085592 (FishCrimes' 4th link)
Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198088551406#!/compare/1589587200/1589673600
Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198169907350#!/compare/1589587200/1589673600 (untraceable from this link)
Sold with 6k for Peace Sign Shako (currently suggesting at 13.5k here: https://backpack.tf/suggestion/5ef1b409acde795d640f4f33 )
13.5-6 = 7.5k, but seems like they may have used old bp.tf prices
FishCrimes' 2nd link is unusable: https://backpack.tf/item/7955726797
Last sale was on 20 Apr, more than 2mo ago
Untraceable sales from FishCrimes' 3rd link: https://backpack.tf/item/5289554418
Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198306691858#!/compare/1587600000/1588291200
Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198309760791#!/compare/1588550400/1588377600
Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198036385359#!/compare/1592179200/1592438400
Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198336384492#!/compare/1592006400/1592265600 - looks like it was traded for 1 key?? ( https://backpack.tf/item/6918751163 ) Assuming cash or other Steam items were involved.
Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198850274253#!/compare/1588204800/1588291200
Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198068546927#!/compare/1588204800/1588291200 - appears to be a bulk trade
Untraceable sales from FishCrimes' 4th link: https://backpack.tf/item/3947085592
Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198252650882#!/compare/1591401600/1591488000
No data at those times for the buyer's inventory.
Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198305494036#!/compare/1591315200/1591401600
Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198252650882#!/compare/1591142400/1591401600
Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199050646537#!/compare/1591228800/1591315200
Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198042556317#!/compare/1589673600/1589760000
Untraceable sales from 5th link: https://backpack.tf/item/8778432536
Seller’s bp is too complex to trace
Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198057317414#!/compare/1592092800/1592903536
Untraceable (traded alongside Skill Gotten Gains Taunt: Spent Well Spirits for unknown items)
Buyer’s bp is too complex to trace
Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198942863921#!/compare/1592122528/1592179200
Untraceable
Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198942863921#!/compare/1590796800/1590969600
Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198447257724#!/compare/1590796800/1590883200
Untraceable
Unsold at 10k for 2mo:
https://i.imgur.com/IZi952c.png
https://backpack.tf/item/7955726797
https://backpack.tf/classifieds?item=Scout+Shako&quality=5&tradable=1&craftable=1&particle=58&australium=-1&killstreak_tier=0
Mini for Noble:
https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/30006;5;u29
2 recent sales at 23.33 and 29 (11.7k & 14.5k, taking average of 13.1k)
Mini for Wet Works:
https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/30135;5;u59
3 recent sales at $14, 15, 16 (7, 7.5 & 8k, taking average of at 7.5k)
Mini for Taunt:
https://i.imgur.com/HVWk8wi.png
3 buyers at 2.3-2.4k
3 sellers at 2.5k-2.6k
taking 2.5k
I found this info wasn’t useful for this suggestion, but it’s an opportunity for someone to reprice this
Summary:
A lot of untraceable sales
1 sale at 7.5k (low, probably used old bp.tf prices)
2 sales at 8.5k
2 sales at 10k via Marketplace
Unsold at 10k (2mo)
1 sale at 12.6k (high)
The noble, wet works, and taunt aren't really minis so much as they are a very rough estimate based on the easiest sale to find. If you don't feel like suggesting them I could request someone to suggest them and review them myself when they're up.
Good point. I was in the mood for it so I created more detailed suggestions for each if you'd like to review them:
Taunt, midpoint at 2.5k: https://backpack.tf/suggestion/5ef289c80b6fe979e327cb91
Wet Works, midpoint at 7.5k: https://backpack.tf/suggestion/5ef294979420a91ad579fde0
Noble, midpoint at 13.5k: https://backpack.tf/suggestion/5ef29c40960a4f59cc169c7a
I used those same exact values for the Taunt and Wet Works.
For the sale including the Noble, after recalculating (13.5 - 0.5 = 13k) we get the same value after rounding.
Also I've just realised the Marketplace sales aren't quite both 10k.
May 15: 19.99/1.91 = 10.5k
June 6: 19.99/1.96 = 10.2k (rounded to 10k)
Should I resuggest at 8.5–10.5 or 9–11?
Hey, I (among other users) am having trouble with bot.tf to verify b/os; have you checked if any of the sales cap?
Update: Bot.tf back up, B/Os verified, and minis all fixed. Good to go.