I'm in love with the Shako… (resuggest)

Thanks to FishCrimes, who opened pandora’s crate for me with 5 links that provided a lot more info.

Marketplace: 2 sales @ 10k

2 recent sales (past 2mo) at 19.99 (10k)

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/30326;5;u58

Sale 1 @ 13k high outlier

https://backpack.tf/item/7955748867 (FishCrimes' 1st link)

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198451325132#!/compare/1587859200/1587945600

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198334133729#!/compare/1587859200/1589500800

Sold with 0.5k in ref for Stormy Storm Noble Amassment (mini at 13.1k)

13.1-0.5 = 12.6k (high, outlier, see summary)

Sale 2 @ 8.5k

https://backpack.tf/item/5289554418 (FishCrimes' 3rd link)

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198309760791#!/compare/1590278400/1590364800 - untraceable from this link

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198336384492#!/compare/1590278400/1590624000

Sold for Aces High Wet Works (mini at 7.5k) + 1k in sweets ( https://backpack.tf/item/6738416927 and https://backpack.tf/item/5893299477 )

7.5 + 1 = 8.5k

Sale 3 @ ~8.5k

https://backpack.tf/item/3947085592 (FishCrimes' 4th link)

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198169907350#!/compare/1589673600/1589760000 (untraceable from this link)

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198042556317#!/compare/1589587200/1589673600

https://i.imgur.com/lkPF4BA.png (wrench history doesnt match)

Bought for 8k + 6 ref + uncraft TOD ticket = ~8.5k (slightly more)

Sale 4 @ 7.5k, low outlier (read)

https://backpack.tf/item/3947085592 (FishCrimes' 4th link)

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198088551406#!/compare/1589587200/1589673600

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198169907350#!/compare/1589587200/1589673600 (untraceable from this link)

Sold with 6k for Peace Sign Shako (currently suggesting at 13.5k here: https://backpack.tf/suggestion/5ef1b409acde795d640f4f33 )

13.5-6 = 7.5k, but seems like they may have used old bp.tf prices

FishCrimes' 2nd link is unusable: https://backpack.tf/item/7955726797

Last sale was on 20 Apr, more than 2mo ago

Untraceable sales from FishCrimes' 3rd link: https://backpack.tf/item/5289554418

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198306691858#!/compare/1587600000/1588291200

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198309760791#!/compare/1588550400/1588377600

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198036385359#!/compare/1592179200/1592438400

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198336384492#!/compare/1592006400/1592265600 - looks like it was traded for 1 key?? ( https://backpack.tf/item/6918751163 ) Assuming cash or other Steam items were involved.

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198850274253#!/compare/1588204800/1588291200

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198068546927#!/compare/1588204800/1588291200 - appears to be a bulk trade

Untraceable sales from FishCrimes' 4th link: https://backpack.tf/item/3947085592

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198252650882#!/compare/1591401600/1591488000

No data at those times for the buyer's inventory.

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198305494036#!/compare/1591315200/1591401600

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198252650882#!/compare/1591142400/1591401600

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199050646537#!/compare/1591228800/1591315200

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198042556317#!/compare/1589673600/1589760000

Untraceable sales from 5th link: https://backpack.tf/item/8778432536

Seller’s bp is too complex to trace

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198057317414#!/compare/1592092800/1592903536

Untraceable (traded alongside Skill Gotten Gains Taunt: Spent Well Spirits for unknown items)

Buyer’s bp is too complex to trace

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198942863921#!/compare/1592122528/1592179200

Untraceable

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198942863921#!/compare/1590796800/1590969600

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198447257724#!/compare/1590796800/1590883200

Untraceable

Unsold at 10k for 2mo:

https://i.imgur.com/IZi952c.png

https://backpack.tf/item/7955726797

https://backpack.tf/classifieds?item=Scout+Shako&quality=5&tradable=1&craftable=1&particle=58&australium=-1&killstreak_tier=0

Mini for Noble:

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/30006;5;u29

2 recent sales at 23.33 and 29 (11.7k & 14.5k, taking average of 13.1k)

Mini for Wet Works:

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/30135;5;u59

3 recent sales at $14, 15, 16 (7, 7.5 & 8k, taking average of at 7.5k)

Mini for Taunt:

https://i.imgur.com/HVWk8wi.png

3 buyers at 2.3-2.4k

3 sellers at 2.5k-2.6k

taking 2.5k

I found this info wasn’t useful for this suggestion, but it’s an opportunity for someone to reprice this

Summary:

A lot of untraceable sales

1 sale at 7.5k (low, probably used old bp.tf prices)

2 sales at 8.5k

2 sales at 10k via Marketplace

Unsold at 10k (2mo)

1 sale at 12.6k (high)