Price Suggestion
~475 keys
sbtwc
Unusual Hat of Cards Something Burning This Way Comes
63 votes up
4 votes down
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This suggestion was accepted by Vijf Kilo Boter (met voetjes).

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Comments

Sale 1:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198095022965#!/compare/1586476800/1586563200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199038315744#!/compare/1586476800/1586563200

Sold for Miami Deep Cover + Vivid Neckwear + Miami Hazmatten(41.5) + Bubbling Field(10.5) + DP Trucker + Icefall Esteem + PBOR Squeeze(12.5) + 5 keys


ends up under buyers, trucker can't be above 10 keys, neckwear and Deep cover by longest unsolds(30 and 31) all adds up to under 180 keys.

https://bot.tf/stats/listings/MQ0G8NW2

B/O of 200 keys


Sale 2:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199038315744#!/compare/1587427200/1587686400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198120672630#!/compare/1587513600/1587600000

Bulky / untrace


sale 3:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198120672630#!/compare/1591747200/1591833600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198168904938#!/compare/1591833600/1592006400

sold for 200 keys (Please someone double count, paranoid about this.)


sale 4:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198797823116#!/compare/1592524800/1592784000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198331508691#!/compare/1592784000/1592870400

Sold for 190 keys


Taking 190 - 200 keys

    Hey man, i just bought it aswell for 270 keys in mixed/pure:

    Cauldron Bubbles Charmer's Chapeau + Steaming Soldier's Stash + Kill-a-Watt Reggaelator + Specialized Killstreak Australium Knife + Specialized Killstreak Australium Rocket Launcher + Specialized Killstreak Australium Grenade Launcher + The Dead Head + Specialized Killstreak Australium Stickybomb Launcher + Halloween Footprint spell The Sub Zero Suit + 30 keys pure + strange pink sticky launcher + geniune app sap


    https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198315168987#!/compare/1594598400/1594684800

      congrats on the purchase! I need a few things from you, if you don't mind (the compares don't capture all the info I need):


      If you can provide me with a screenshot of this trade, that would help clarify the sale, as some items don't appear to show up in the compares.


      If you could then provide a screenshot of what you bought the Cauldron Chapeau for, as I need that to be indate, and, again, compares aren't telling me the whole story.


For sale 4, how do you know that sale was for 190 keys? I don't see 190 keys being transferred between backpacks.

Evaluating both open suggestions at the same time:


The sales here are actually:

~160-170 ish (sale 1)

- 190

- 200

- ~240-245 (From the other suggestion, depending on whether or not 6 for the sub was based on an actual sale or not)


I believe 190-200 is a more appropriate representation here, given it preserves the mean. Especially seeing how the influx of buyers is recent, and seems to be the result of overcutting (they used to sit around 140, and the next highest one currently active sits at 120 because the rest disappeared).


Going to accept this suggestion here with the above in mind.