The Sale:

Sold for 8 keys

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198119125919#!/compare/1587513600/1587686400

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199031191449#!/compare/1587427200/1588204800

https://backpack.tf/item/2525420913

8 keys

Marketplace Sales:

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/980;5;u57

$19.99, March 27th

$8.13, April 2nd

$15.95, April 14th

$17.99, April 17th

$17.99, May 15th

$18, May 18th

http://manic.tf/keyprice?at=2020-03-27&price=19.99 - $19.99 / $1.69 = 11.83 keys

https://bot.tf/stats/listings/M199NJJO - B/O of 11 (1st seller) Their B/O disappears shortly after the sale.

https://backpack.tf/item/3299506639

http://manic.tf/keyprice?at=2020-04-02&price=8.13 - $8.13 / $1.69 = 4.81 keys

Snapshot not important, went to buy order. Couldn’t find history.

http://manic.tf/keyprice?at=2020-04-14&price=15.95 - $15.95 / $1.75 = 9.11 keys

https://bot.tf/stats/listings/YD1DKV7L - No B/O, none of these sellers. Wouldn’t cap anyway.

Couldn’t find history.

http://manic.tf/keyprice?at=2020-04-17&price=17.99 - $17.99 / $1.77 = 10.16 keys

https://bot.tf/stats/listings/4J9JWNJP - B/O of 10, 2nd seller

Couldn’t find history.

http://manic.tf/keyprice?at=2020-05-15&price=17.99 - $17.99 / $1.91 = 9.42 keys

https://bot.tf/stats/listings/4P0DO7PZ - Possible B/O of 9.5

Listing disappears shortly after, and they have their marketplace account integrated to their backpack account

https://bot.tf/stats/listings/MVQ892PV

Doesn’t change the price if I’m wrong, also I couldn’t find the history.

http://manic.tf/keyprice?at=2020-05-18&price=18 - $18 / $1.89 = 9.52 keys

https://backpack.tf/item/7956213816 - May 18th

https://bot.tf/stats/listings/Y3WGE6ZE - B/O of 10, from about a month prior to the sale

After rounding, we have:

9 keys (2x)

10 keys (2x, 1 capped at a B/O)

11 keys (Capped by B/O)

Other Sales:

https://backpack.tf/item/7956786728 (#1)

https://backpack.tf/item/7956213816 (#2)

https://backpack.tf/item/7955770314 (#3-5)

https://backpack.tf/item/2942122285 (#6)

https://backpack.tf/item/2525420913 (#7)

https://backpack.tf/item/3299506639 (#8)

https://backpack.tf/item/2294485452 - tradeit

#1

Sold for Kazotsky Kick unusualifier in a 15 day trade hold

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198111136474#!/compare/1586908800/1588377600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199017092019#!/compare/1585958400/1589068800

Buyers at almost 20 keys on the unusualifier, which is significantly higher than the sellers/sales we already have here. Excluding.

#2

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198821151341#!/compare/1592438400/1592611200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198204324809#!/compare/1592265600/1592524800

gift or something idk

#3

Sold with ~5.5 keys for Haunted Ghosts Noble Nickel

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197994587943#!/compare/1588723200/1589760000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198809836021#!/compare/1589155200/1589328000

Better off being used on the Nickle

#4

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198809836021#!/compare/1589328000/1589414400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199020880405 - backpack not scanned prior to the trade

#5

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199020880405 - backpack won’t update, nothing important in fallback anyway

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198354555483#!/compare/1589932800/1592956800

#6

Sold with 4 keys for Miami Desert

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198126626838#!/compare/1592784000/1592870400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198021185193#!/compare/1592784000/1592870400

Better to use on the Desert.

#7

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199031191449#!/compare/1588464000/1588723200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198363395191#!/compare/1588636800/1588723200

#8

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199013548287#!/compare/1590364800/1590537600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198363395191#!/compare/1590278400/1590364800

Sellers:

https://i.imgur.com/XNyZPbe.png

https://backpack.tf/item/1925743084 - 20 keys

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/980;5;u57

3x $27 (~13.5 keys)

https://backpack.tf/item/3299506639

https://backpack.tf/item/2497127184

https://backpack.tf/item/2525420913

https://i.imgur.com/aTm7nh5.png

$46.30 AUD on the SCM

Keys roughly $3.65 AUD, this’ll be around 13 keys

Sales at:

5

8

9 (2x)

10 (2x)

11

5 is a large outlier, excluding 5.

8 is below the two buy orders and isn’t a common trading point. Excluding 8.

Taking 9-11.