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~120 keys
mallard
Unusual Wet Works Molten Mallard
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I like Working

Pool Technician - Always wet


Sellers: - https://gyazo.com/91a3f8b170bccdb12abdf1a0d527da71

https://backpack.tf/item/3277120238 - 6 Days @ 40 Keys


Sale 1)

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198080425549#!/compare/1588723200/1588809600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198156315732#!/compare/1588723200/1588809600 - Sold for ~0.3 Keys in Sweets for a Vivid Plasma Wing Mann (10) + A Ring of Fire Brain-Warming Wear + 5 Keys - Only sale on Warming Wear

No Buyout


Sale 2)

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198200420351#!/compare/1588118400/1588204800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198142251077#!/compare/1588118400/1588291200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198406818535#!/compare/1588118400/1588204800 - Sold for a Sunbeams Polar Bear (22-23) + 10 Keys = 32-33 Keys, Low compared to Buyers. Sellers at 23 on the Polar, with Buyers at 22. Polar sold for Pan.


Sale 3)

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198200420351#!/compare/1588032000/1588118400 - Quicksold for 29 Keys? IDs and Histories don't match. Either way it's below buyers


Sale 4)

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199025023571#!/compare/1588032000/1588118400 - Untrace


Sale 5)

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198166168674#!/compare/1587859200/1587945600 - Sold for a Circling Peace Sign Yule Hog - Low


Sale 6)

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198280667527#!/compare/1587600000/1587686400 - Quicksold for ~30 Keys, Below Buyers


Sale 7)

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198280667527#!/compare/1587513600/1587600000 - Untrace


Sale 8)

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198173442901#!/compare/1587427200/1587513600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198081289509#!/compare/1587427200/1587513600 - Sold with 3 Keys for a The Dark Doorway Highway Star + A Wintery Wisp Taunt: Square Dance - No Minis on Taunt


Mini for Taunt:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198173442901#!/compare/1587513600/1587600000 - Untrace

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198872796421#!/compare/1587254400/1587340800 - Sold for 11 Keys, Quickbuyers price

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198080425549#!/compare/1587254400/1587340800 - Sold for 10 Keys (Only 10 of the 13 match histories)


Sale 9)

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198173442901#!/compare/1586304000/1586390400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198144820745#!/compare/1586304000/1586390400 - Sold with a Stormy Storm Crocleather Slouch (11.5) for a Purple Energy Backbiter's Billycock (48) = (37) Keys


Only sale we have is:

37


Thanks =)

    ROF Brain has some sales now, will need looking into however:

    https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198080425549#!/compare/1592870400/1592956800

    https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198204215085#!/compare/1592784000/1592870400

    https://steamcommunity.com/market/listings/440/Professional%20Killstreak%20AWPer%20Hand%20Kit%20Fabricator - Fabricator is ~6 keys

    Added ~7 keys in adds for a Wintery Wisp Taunt: Didgeridrongo


    https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198204215085#!/compare/1593475200/1593561600

    https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198867674473#!/compare/1587859200/1593561600

    Added 10 ref for a PE Brain


    Square Dance also has a new sale here:

    https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/1106;5;u3032

    $100 = ~50 keys, seems super high. I feel like that sale is prob a high outlier regardless though.


    I think you missed this sale in the middle of all the others:

    https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198451665899#!/compare/1587686400/1587859200

    https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198166168674#!/compare/1587772800/1587859200

    Added 2 keys for a Pro KS Aussie Minigun (38 at the time of the sale https://bot.tf/stats/listings/Y801Z20X)

    = 36


    Also, I think you might want to make a full suggestion on the Sunbeams Polar to see if the sale comes up comes up over 32, given the quicksales/fast exchanges I feel like there is support for a lower low-end


    New sale:

    https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198156315732#!/compare/1594598400/1595203200

    Added 5 keys for a DBD Boa (62.5, indate), can't see the buyer in history but you can see here

    https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198122595086 - can see it in buyers inv

    TVE told me about this sale so I know this was the sale, caps at his buyout of 40 - in your selling screenshot

    Because of how much it capped over the buyout, I think this sale is probably an outlier.


    That gives sales at:

    29 (prob)

    30 (qs)

    ~33ish (polar sale)

    36

    37

    40

    highway star + square dance sale.


    I have a feeling the brain is going to be low/have descrepent sales, so I think ~33 - 37 is prob best here, but depending on how that turns out the range might change.

      Guess you'll be taking over Foamy-style comments! Thanks for the hard work, I'll fumble around and adjust this