Challenge 19, Team F.L.A.M.B.E.S!

50th suggestion, made by Lmk445!

Kill-a-Watt Bootleg Base Metal Billycock

Hist. 1: https://backpack.tf/item/7957142862

Sale 1 (Untraceable)

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198311498888#!/compare/1592006400/1592092800

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198818700988#!/compare/1592006400/1592092800

Sale 2 (Invalid)

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199055243422#!/compare/1591747200/1591833600

(didn’t reload bp and appears to have sold it in <1 day, QS  Invalid)

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198311498888#!/compare/1591747200/1591833600

Sale 3

Not usable.

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198877084756#!/compare/1591574400/1592352000

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199055243422#!/compare/1591747200/1591833600

Sale 4

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198950991349#!/compare/1591142400/1592265600

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198877186642#!/compare/1591056000/1592438400

*TWatt Polar Bear History: https://backpack.tf/item/6839259888

Sold for TWatt Polar Bear? Gonna exclude this since it seems odd with all the histories involved.

Sale 5

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198305494036#!/compare/1590883200/1590969600

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198950991349#!/compare/1574812800/1591142400

*Untraceable

Sale 6

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199043177646#!/compare/1590624000/1590710400

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198305494036#!/compare/1590796800/1590883200

*Untraceable

Sale 7

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198076652703#!/compare/1589414400/1590278400

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199043177646#!/compare/1590105600/1590278400

Sale Price: 6 Keys 1 ref?

*All other sales for this history are over 2 months by at least a few weeks, therefore they’re invalid for these purposes

Hist. 2: https://backpack.tf/item/7956796443

Sale 1

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198080179568#!/compare/1589846400/1589932800

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198046137681#!/compare/1589846400/1589932800

Sale Price: 6 Keys 30 ref  ~6.55 Keys

*Last sale in this history is untraceable and out of date

Hist. 3: https://backpack.tf/item/7956338712

Sale 1

sold for 7 keys

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198337734785#!/compare/1589932800/1590019200

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198274086042#!/compare/1586995200/1591142400

Sale 2

Unable to determine

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198305494036#!/compare/1589328000/1589414400

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198337734785#!/compare/1589328000/1589414400

Sale 3

Unable to determine

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198305494036#!/compare/1588896000/1588982400

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198247099384#!/compare/1585094400/1588982400

Sale 4

Unable to determine

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198311498888#!/compare/1588896000/1588982400

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198247099384#!/compare/1585094400/1588982400

*Other viable sale involves a bot while all others are out of date.

Hist. 4: https://backpack.tf/item/7956054639

Sale 1

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198134220286#!/compare/1589673600/1590019200

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198337734785#!/compare/1589673600/1589760000

Bulk  Invalid

Sale 2

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198850274253#!/compare/1589587200/1589673600

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198134220286#!/compare/1589587200/1589673600

Appears to be bulk  Invalid

All other sales are out of date.

Bot.tf: https://imgur.com/a/OWDO4Up

2 Sales @ 6 Keys 11 ref

1 Sale @ 6 Keys 2 ref

1 Sale @ 6 Keys

1 Sale @ 5 Keys 50 ref

2 Bought @ 6 Keys 9 ref

1 Bought @ 5 Keys 53 ref

1 Bought @ 5 Keys 48 ref

1 Bought @ 5 Keys 47 ref

MP Sale: https://imgur.com/a/ZMktQJU

Sale Price: 8.19 Keys  ~8.2 Keys

*Seems like an outlier when compared to the over values.

Classifieds as of creation: https://imgur.com/a/vpWJszJ

With all the information gathered, and the roadblocks encountered along the way, the sales, purchases, and trades vary from 5 keys 47 ref to about 8.2 keys. That being said, the 8.2 seems to be an outlier, while the buyers and sellers support a low end of approximately 5.9 keys and a high of 6.4 keys.

Suggested Range: 5.9-6.4 Keys

Total sales @:

6, 6, 6, 6, 6, 6, 6, 6, 6, 6, 6, 6.5, 7 keys

givne amount of sales,

and seller at 6.5 keys, unsold for a month,

https://i.imgur.com/bZOPmm3.jpg

taking 6 - 6.5 keys