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~1650 keys
burning
Unusual Blighted Beak Burning Flames
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Hey, ho!


Sale 1: Barely Indate marketplace.tf sale for 799.99$ , keys at the time were 1.69$ (on apr the 2nd, cuz i dont think it goes further back)

beak: https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/315;5;u13

keys: https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/5021;6

history: https://backpack.tf/item/215733062

473 Keys


Sale 2: Beak + unu crossbow for a burning flames bonk boy

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198119634347#!/compare/1588636800/1588723200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198114402400#!/compare/1588636800/1588723200

Crossbow is worth 61 keys according to this indate suggestion https://backpack.tf/suggestion/5ea9dd98bb7e765bd52edaa3


mini for bonk boy: 1 clean sale at 500 flat https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198085628805#!/compare/1592870400/1593475200

another clean sale for alot of items: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197994697258#!/compare/1585353600/1585440000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198068298009#!/compare/1585267200/1585440000

Spelled aussie flamethrower doesnt have a defined price that i know of, so we will just ignore this one for here since that could subtract or add alot of value depending on who you ask.

mini: 500 keys

sale 2 total: 500 for bonk - crossbow (61) = 439 Keys


Sale 3: 414 (duped) https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198129205357#!/compare/1591747200/1591833600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198850274253#!/compare/1591747200/1591833600


Sales 4 & 5: i can see that a bf beak has traded hands, but with the recent inventory issues, they haven't registered yet. Both seem to be duped so ill exclude it for now, will update if need be.


Sale 6, my own purchase/sale: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198185982134#!/compare/1593129600/1593475200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198129552058#!/compare/1593302400/1593388800

Lets break it down. 360 pure, a H.O.U.W.A.R., a Maxes, a Blizzardy Beak, and a Haunted Ghosts Beak.

Maxes is indate, but the sellers are below price, so we will settle in a comfy medium of 17.5 keys for this trade

houwar is indate at 150 keys (140-160)

Ghosts beak is indate and stable at 180 keys.

blizz is indate at 100 even.

360+150+180+100+17.5 = 807.5

Clear outlier.


Our clean sales: 439, 473, 807

Outlier chopped up, we get a range of 439 to 473

Excluding the duped pure sale because buy orders are currently beating it.

    iirc the burning bonk was a mixed payment of pure + paypal, i messaged bolt so he may or may not comment

      Cheers, will update if so.

        Any update on this?

          looks like theres at least 2 sales to quicksell.store, both duped, and one sale on cs-deals that I dont believe i can trace unless Offline responds to me.

          cant figure out the exact trades for the quicksell.store sales, but judging by the whole premise of that website, it can be safe to say that any of those sales would be beaten by buy orders.

            Oh, I meant that it seems like the sale used here is being questioned in its value (i.e. that the 500 sale may not have been 500), and I thought it was being checked whether or not the sale was accurate. Apologies if that was not what you meant in your earlier comment :P

              Havent heard back from the guy so i dont believe theres anythjng more to it

                Alright, thanks! in that case I'll accept as is here, assuming it is correct as provided here.