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Disco Beat Down Galvanized Gibus
Selling:
https://bot.tf/stats/listings/M1903EN7 - Bard has been selling for over a month, b/o has been lower
https://bot.tf/stats/listings/Y79ROEVK - DedAndrei only recently lowered from 55 to 50
Marketplace.tf Sales
https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/30003;5;u62
$69.99 / $1.68 = 41.66 keys
$65 / $1.79 = 36.31 keys https://backpack.tf/item/8004570357
$64.99 / $1.88 = 34.57 keys https://backpack.tf/item/7956705627
$40 / $1.88 = 21.28 keys
$69.99 / $1.89 = 37.03 keys
$69.99 / $1.94 = 36.08 keys https://backpack.tf/item/1918756266 https://bot.tf/stats/listings/MLVP0PG5 B/O was 50
$75.83 / $1.98 = 38.30 keys
$75 / $2.00 = 37.50 keys
$89.99 / $2.00 = 44.99 keys https://backpack.tf/item/7957194888 https://bot.tf/stats/listings/Y79R576W - B/O was 50
Sale 1:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198045710515#!/compare/1587427200/1587513600
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198080179568#!/compare/1587513600/1587427200
Sold to Julia for 25 keys 32.77 ref
X = 25.5
Sale 2:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198080179568#!/compare/1587427200/1587513600
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198066369838#!/compare/1587427200/1587513600
https://bot.tf/stats/listings/4R0J6V05 - B/O was 35
Sold for 35 keys
X = 35
Sale 3:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198306872661#!/compare/1587945600/1588032000
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198066369838#!/compare/1587945600/1588032000
Sold for at least 20 keys (counted keys)
Probably incomplete, excluding
Sale 4:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198306872661#!/compare/1588291200/1588377600
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198180186261#!/compare/1588291200/1588377600
Added an OP OMA for a KaW Phantom + 4 keys + Exo minigun
Bulky/better used on phantom
Sale 5:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198143750123#!/compare/1586217600/1586304000
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198217385159#!/compare/1586131200/1586217600
Likely sold for 28 keys and some ref (33 w/ gunboots for GE gibus -7 keys he already had + 2 leftover = sold for 28)
X = 28
Sale 6:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198217385159#!/compare/1586304000/1586476800
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198019257028#!/compare/1586304000/1586390400
Sold to a quickbuyer for 36 keys
X = 36
Sale 7:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198019257028#!/compare/1589587200/1589673600
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198218897541#!/compare/1589328000/1589587200
https://bot.tf/stats/listings/Y9QRKKND - B/O was 49
Sold for 49 keys
Sale 8:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198218897541#!/compare/1589932800/1591142400
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198363395191#!/compare/1591142400/1591228800
https://bot.tf/stats/listings/4ZPR18JX - buy order
Likely sold to Juice for 29 keys 41.77 ref
Note: Juice never listed for sale and I can’t trace the sale. Weird.
Sales 9 & 10
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198076045953#!/compare/1592092800/1592179200
https://bot.tf/stats/listings/Y80970RZ - Likely bought for 31 keys 12 ref
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198176593866#!/compare/1592352000/1592438400
https://bot.tf/stats/listings/Y9Q0NLW6 - Likely sold for 34 keys
X = 31, 34
Sales at:
21
26
28
30
31
34
35 (x2)
36 (x3)
37
38 (x2)
42
45
49
Summary:
Buyers up to 26 rn, but were up to ~31 less than a week ago https://bot.tf/stats/listings/Y79ROEVK. Considering this, calling 31 and lower and low, most were sales to buy orders anyways. Calling 45 and 49 high on the other end to balance the range. 34 is not traceable, so going with 35 as the low-end instead.
Final Price: 35 - 42 keys
Recent marketplace sale at 45. The range is reasonably balanced so accepting this.