Sale 1:

Sold for 7 keys + some metal

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198841279602#!/compare/1593216000/1593302400

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198393258475#!/compare/1593302400/1593388800

https://backpack.tf/item/7956370519

7 keys

Sale 2:

Sold for 7 keys

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198985910282#!/compare/1586131200/1586217600

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199017926833#!/compare/1586131200/1586217600

https://backpack.tf/item/2231968944

https://i.imgur.com/TihUiKB.png - bot.tf confirms

7 keys

Sale 3:

Sold for 6 keys + 4 ref

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198043536092#!/compare/1592611200/1592784000

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198841279602#!/compare/1592611200/1592697600

https://backpack.tf/item/7956370519

6 keys

Other Sales:

https://backpack.tf/item/7956955508 (#1)

https://backpack.tf/item/7956370519 (#2-9)

https://backpack.tf/item/6097912644 (#10)

https://backpack.tf/item/1800354740 (#11-15)

https://backpack.tf/item/7955637710 (#16)

https://backpack.tf/item/1791031352 - site bot

https://backpack.tf/item/4903520088 - gambled/unusable

#1

Bulk for pure

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198037674114#!/compare/1592611200/1592697600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198850274253#!/compare/1592611200/1592697600

Gambled/untraceable prior.

#2

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198182415563#!/compare/1586304000/1586390400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198305494036#!/compare/1586217600/1586304000

https://i.imgur.com/TihUiKB.png - labelled as 5 keys + 41 ref

#3

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198305494036#!/compare/1586304000/1586390400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198020673987#!/compare/1586304000/1586390400

https://i.imgur.com/TihUiKB.png - labelled as 7 keys

Missing users in the history

#4

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198850274253#!/compare/1587600000/1587686400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198285371555#!/compare/1587600000/1587686400

https://i.imgur.com/TihUiKB.png - labelled as 6 keys

#5

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198020673987#!/compare/1589155200/1589241600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198047712996#!/compare/1589155200/1589241600

#6

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198047712996#!/compare/1589241600/1589328000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198396499936#!/compare/1589155200/1589241600

#7

Bulk for Circling heart Glasgow Great Helm

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198396499936#!/compare/1590364800/1590451200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198261971765#!/compare/1590364800/1590451200

#8

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198261971765#!/compare/1590451200/1591747200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198043536092#!/compare/1592611200/1592784000

#9

Bulk for pure

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198393258475#!/compare/1593475200/1593561600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198850178158#!/compare/1593388800/1593475200

#10

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198078018027#!/compare/1590278400/1590364800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198879945899#!/compare/1590278400/1590364800

Gambled prior.

#11

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198042831038#!/compare/1588982400/1589155200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198305494036#!/compare/1589068800/1589155200

https://i.imgur.com/TihUiKB.png - labelled as 6 keys + 6 ref

#12

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198305494036#!/compare/1589241600/1589328000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198093170043#!/compare/1589328000/1589414400

https://i.imgur.com/TihUiKB.png - labelled as 7 keys

Gambled afterwards.

#13

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198084691941#!/compare/1590537600/1591488000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198026973706#!/compare/1591401600/1591488000

#14

Sold with 3 keys for Steaming Front Runner + some ref

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198026973706#!/compare/1591488000/1591574400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198303296188#!/compare/1591228800/1591488000

Should be used on the Front Runner.

#15

Sold for like 3 keys in items

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198303296188#!/compare/1591228800/1591488000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198145208029#!/compare/1591401600/1591488000

Too low, excluding.

#16

Sold for Silver Cyclone Squeezebox

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198048851745#!/compare/1586217600/1586304000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198329673674#!/compare/1581552000/1586304000

https://bot.tf/stats/listings/4J95WV87 - B/O of ~6.5

The sale is pretty old, and would most likely fall into the range anyways.

Gambled/unusable afterwards.

Marketplace Sales:

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/436;5;u57

$13.07, April 10th

$14, April 22nd

$14, April 24th

$14, May 6th

$17.50, May 10th

$17.50, May 11th

$15.99, May 27th

https://backpack.tf/item/1800354740 - May 10th or 11th

Couldn’t find any other histories.

http://manic.tf/keyprice?at=2020-04-10&price=13.07 - $13.07 / $1.68 = 7.78 keys

https://bot.tf/stats/listings/MLVZGXGO - No B/O

http://manic.tf/keyprice?at=2020-04-22&price=14 - $14 / $1.75 = 8.00 keys

https://bot.tf/stats/listings/466100V2 - No B/O, assuming Zol didn’t have another that was listed on marketplace, but can’t confirm that.

http://manic.tf/keyprice?at=2020-04-24&price=14 - $14 / $1.80 = 7.78 keys

https://bot.tf/stats/listings/Y791XPVN - Same as last

http://manic.tf/keyprice?at=2020-05-06&price=14 - $14 / $1.89 = 7.41 keys

https://bot.tf/stats/listings/Y80W013W - No B/O

http://manic.tf/keyprice?at=2020-05-10&price=17.5 - $17.5 / $1.90 = 9.21 keys

https://bot.tf/stats/listings/4ZPV532Q - No B/O

http://manic.tf/keyprice?at=2020-05-11&price=17.5 - $17.5 / $1.90 = 9.21 keys

https://bot.tf/stats/listings/466X3QO9 - No B/O

http://manic.tf/keyprice?at=2020-05-27&price=15.99 - $15.99 / $1.92 = 8.33 keys

https://bot.tf/stats/listings/Y9QK1G26 - No B/O

After rounding, we have:

8 keys (3x)

9 keys (2x)

Sellers:

https://i.imgur.com/ysbnmNe.png

https://backpack.tf/item/7956955508 - ~6.7 keys

https://backpack.tf/item/6097912644 - ~6.7 keys

Sales at:

6

7 (2x)

7.5

8 (3x)

8.5

9 (2x)

Marketplace sales are vastly different from the pure sales and the sellers we have. Going to exclude the marketplace sales.

Only 2 buyers higher than 6 keys, and we have a sale at 6, 3 unconfirmed bot.tf purchases/sales at ~6 keys, as well as a couple others that may be untraceable (sales to the quicksell store bots etc.). Going to include 6.

Taking 6-7.