'72 Spent Well Spirits

Taking last 2 months

Selling:

https://imgur.com/a/k3xuWQo

2 sellers @ 2.4, Eva has been there end of may https://bot.tf/stats/listings/M0O98WRX

Marketplace.tf Sales

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/1114;5;u3004

$5.56 / $1.90 = 2.93 keys

$5.56 / $1.91 = 2.91 keys

$4.75 / $1.89 = 2.51 keys

$5.56 / $1.89 = 2.94 keys

$5.56 / $1.87 = 2.97 keys

$5.6 / $1.90 = 2.95 keys

$5.56 / $1.90 = 2.93 keys

$4.96 / $1.92 = 2.58 keys

$5.6 / $1.92 = 2.92 keys

$6.79 / $1.96 = 3.46 keys

$5.55 / $1.99 = 2.79 keys

$4.99 / $2.00 = 2.50 keys

Bot.tf Sales

https://bot.tf/stats/item?def=1114&q=5&ef=%2772&craft=1&aus=0&ks=0&source=browser_script

https://imgur.com/a/CJg9MkS

Buys:

4x @ 2.3

(older 1x @ 2.3, 1x @ 2.4)

Sells:

4x @ 2.4

Sale 1:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198053292336#!/compare/1589328000/1589846400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198824823986#!/compare/1585526400/1589932800

Lime Paint (~1.7) + ToD ticket (.5)

Paint and ticket have been traded back and forth between the same people before, bit strange, might be lending between friends and not a real sale.

X = 2.2

Sales at:

2.2

2.3 (x4)

2.4 (x4)

2.5 (x2)

2.6

2.8

2.9 (x5)

3 (x2)

3.5

Summary:

There are 8 normal market bot.tf sales and 12 marketplace.tf sales; and all the mp.tf sales are higher than the normal market sales. Eva has been unsold for over a month @ 2.4. Excluding 2.2 due to being under buyers and the concern I mentioned. Since over 50% of the sales are high mp.tf sales, I think at least some of the mp.tf sales should be included, given that there clearly is a common trading point above 2.4. Including 2.5 will get the number of included sales equal to the number of mp.tf high outliers, so I will include 2.5 and exclude higher.

If you have feedback @ me in suggestion-discussion.

Final Price: 2.3 - 2.5 keys