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Unusual Brotherhood of Arms Circling Heart
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Won't be catching me slacking before an event :P


Mini for HG Casemaker


Item 1

https://backpack.tf/item/5091638811

Sale 1

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198099357080#!/compare/1589241600/1591574400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198305494036#!/compare/1591488000/1591574400

Sold for 58 keys 17 ref

https://prnt.sc/te2apx - This is the June 8th sale


Sale 2

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198305494036#!/compare/1591488000/1591574400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197982127154#!/compare/1591488000/1591574400

Ultralow bought the GE Blast off Killua too so histories a little messed

Taking 59 keys and 35 ref as recorded by bot.tf - https://prnt.sc/te2apx


Sale 3

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197982127154#!/compare/1591488000/1591574400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198832634596#!/compare/1591401600/1591574400

I checked key histories and 33 didn't match up from AzwaD to ultralow, some did go straight to Killua though which is where some of the keys ultralow got went to

I'll much rather exclude this, if it turns out to be ~58 keys then hopefully it supports the range


Sale 4

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198832634596#!/compare/1591574400/1591660800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198144464779#!/compare/1591488000/1591574400

Bought by bot

Untrace


Sale 5

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198144464779#!/compare/1591574400/1592179200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198079996881#!/compare/1591833600/1592179200

Sold for 68 keys


Sale 6

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198079996881#!/compare/1592265600/1592524800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198850266056#!/compare/1592352000/1592438400

Sold for 58 keys 15.33 ref


Item 2

https://backpack.tf/item/8557317490

Sale 7

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198337734785#!/compare/1591747200/1591833600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198210598009#!/compare/1591747200/1591833600

11 keys match

24 keys didn't match leaving isla's inv, I checked all the key histories

90 - 24 = 66 keys

Taking 66 keys here, there are no buyouts on bot.tf


Sale 8

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198210598009#!/compare/1592006400/1592611200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198337734785#!/compare/1592524800/1592611200

Got Zol'd for 42 keys


Sale 9

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198337734785#!/compare/1592697600/1592784000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198133887117#!/compare/1592784000/1592870400

Untrack, the SF Baker comes from Zol too?

Using near ID, suggests the 21 keys came from Walgreens but that's it

Untrace


Sale 10

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198133887117#!/compare/1594080000/1594166400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198068585202#!/compare/1593388800/1593475200

Untrace


Sale 11

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198068585202#!/compare/1593734400/1594080000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198133887117#!/compare/1594080000/1594166400

Tradeback, can't see the unusuals in his steam inv so not sure what happened to them

Oh found them, they are listed on mp now - https://marketplace.tf/shop/76561198133887117


Item 3

https://backpack.tf/item/8156762458

Sale 12

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198850266056#!/compare/1590969600/1591056000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198046461179#!/compare/1587081600/1591142400

Bought off bot

It looks like 67 keys 5 ref, some keys come from Zol because that is where the Cheart Fed got dumped


Item 4

https://backpack.tf/item/6961056249

Dumped on mp


Item 5

https://backpack.tf/item/6898857896

Sale 13

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198216485851#!/compare/1591401600/1591920000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198109749673#!/compare/1591660800/1591747200

Bought off mp, will list later


Sale 14

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198109749673#!/compare/1591833600/1591920000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198061489334#!/compare/1591833600/1591920000

Sold alongside 3 keys of sweets for HG Casemaker, using there!


Item 6

https://backpack.tf/item/6596379545

Sale 15

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198337734785#!/compare/1591660800/1591747200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198229219288#!/compare/1590969600/1591747200

Untrace


Sale 16

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198229219288#!/compare/1592179200/1592265600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198305494036#!/compare/1592179200/1592265600

Sold to bot for 58 keys 19 ref

https://prnt.sc/te2apx - indicated here, June 16th sale


Sale 17

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198305494036#!/compare/1592697600/1592784000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198148511293#!/compare/1592697600/1592784000

Sold for 47 keys, 43 match using near ID

https://prnt.sc/te2apx - June 22nd sale


Sale 18

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198148511293#!/compare/1592784000/1592870400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198295029464#!/compare/1592697600/1592870400

Sold for CPS Muffs + at least 16 keys in sweets, it's uncertain exactly how many because keys got traded super quickly afterwards and very difficult to track

Calling this untrace

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/205;11;w1;pk248 - some sales on the rl here


Item 7

https://backpack.tf/item/5428939674

Sale 19

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198041201321#!/compare/1587772800/1589587200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197962753543#!/compare/1592352000/1593388800

Untrace


Sale 20

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197962753543#!/compare/1592352000/1593388800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198220098345#!/compare/1593648000/1593820800

Untrace


Sale 21

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198220098345#!/compare/1593734400/1593820800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198244962432#!/compare/1593734400/1593820800

Bulk


Sale 22

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198244962432#!/compare/1593820800/1593907200

https://bac

kpack.tf/profiles/76561198445255559#!/compare/1593734400/1593820800

The GE Mitre matches using Near ID, nothing else though

Untrace


Item 8

https://backpack.tf/item/8673912425

Sale 23

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198216460093#!/compare/1589414400/1591747200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198179253523#!/compare/1590969600/1591056000

Bought off mp


Sale 24

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198179253523#!/compare/1590537600/1590969600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198012537041#!/compare/1590969600/1591056000

Untrace, likely gambling


Sale 25

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198012537041#!/compare/1590969600/1591056000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198305494036#!/compare/1590969600/1591056000

Sold to bot

https://prnt.sc/te2apx - likely sold for 58 keys 15 ref, the June 2nd sale


Sale 26

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198305494036#!/compare/1590969600/1591056000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198154700747#!/compare/1590969600/1591056000

Bought off bot

https://prnt.sc/te2apx - likely bought for 59 keys 25 ref, the other June 2nd sale


Sale 27

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198154700747#!/compare/1591142400/1591228800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199025158544#!/compare/1591142400/1591228800

Sold to some website, both Carter and Michael are bots


Marketplace sales

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/30066;5;u19

June 9th - $142.99 / $1.99 = 71.85 keys

June 9th - $125 / $1.99 = 62.81 keys

June 29th - $142.99 / $2.01 = 71.14 keys

Can't find any buyouts


Current Listings

https://prnt.sc/te4wsw - Taken 08/07/20

2 sellers at 80 keys

11 days

2 days

1 seller at 95 keys

26 days

Buyers start from 45 keys ish

Sellers on mp - https://prnt.sc/te5bwe

1 at $123 = 62 ish keys

1 at $137 = 68 ish keys


Sales

58, 60, 68, 58, 66, 42, 67, 47, 58, 59, 72, 63, 71


Sales ordered

42, 47, 58, 58, 58, 59, 60, 63, 66, 67, 68, 71, 72


Excluding the 2 bottom sales and 2 top sales, countered by buy orders and by current sellers respectively


Going with 58 - 68 keys