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Resuggestion, Thanks to Xerogyf & Cashew for the info!
Sale 1:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198342161127#!/compare/1583539200/1583625600
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198164721898#!/compare/1583539200/1583625600
Sold for RA Elfin + ~4 keys in sweets
use there
sale 2:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198164721898#!/compare/1583884800/1583971200
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198086972084#!/compare/1583884800/1583971200
Sold for 14 keys(?)
Sale 3:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198086972084#!/compare/1585008000/1585094400
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198284637591#!/compare/1585008000/1585094400
Sold for 21 keys
sale 4:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198284637591#!/compare/1585094400/1585180800
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198120643050#!/compare/1585094400/1585180800
Sold for 29 keys
Sale 5:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198120643050#!/compare/1585180800/1585267200
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198089910795#!/compare/1585353600/1586131200
Untrace
sale 6:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198089910795#!/compare/1586131200/1586217600
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198084367252#!/compare/1585958400/1586131200
Sold with Aces Brigade + 4 keys for Blizzardy Yellow(49)
notihng on the Brigade
Total sales @:
14, 21, 29 keys
buyers up to ~16 keys,
Xerogyf's Part:
https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/111;5;u57
$59.99 / $1.69 = 35.50 keys
mp.tf sale from a hidden history, currently outdated but was at the time this suggestion was created (all other sales are also outdated now, but that shouldn't matter)
Bridage has a sale now as well:
https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/105;5;u59
$29.99 / $2.03 = 14.77 keys
Seems kind of high (already a mp seller under that sale price) but its all we have to go off of.
That makes sale 6: 49 - 15 - 4 = 30 keys. Worth noting that the belt has buy orders higher than bp price now, but the sugg there was accepted right around when the sale occured so 49 should be fine to take there.
That gives sales at:
14?
21
29
30
36
I would call 21 and lower low go 29 - 36 keys here. The RA Elfin sale also supports a higher price.
Cashew's Part:
elfin has buyers at 29 so that sale is at least 33. The buyer at 21 also resold for 29 the next day so excluding 21 seems reasonable.