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Item Links:
1. https://backpack.tf/item/352199824
2. https://backpack.tf/item/147767449
3. https://backpack.tf/item/480994436 (Duped)
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Marketplace Sales:
https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/179;5;u10
3 July: ~40 Keys
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Sale 1:
https://backpack.tf/item/352199824
Not Valid, he deposited it to marketplace
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Sale 2:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198147532685#!/compare/1591833600/1592006400
Untraceable
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Sale 3:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198044668296#!/compare/1587859200/1593475200
Untraceable, trading between scammers
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Sale 4:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198850274253#!/compare/1593388800/1593475200
Untraceable
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Sale 5:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198850274253#!/compare/1593648000/1593734400
Untraceable
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Valid Sales (Keys):
1. 40 Keys
Taking 40 keys
https://backpack.tf/item/147767449 - This is the history of the July 3rd marketplace sale
https://backpack.tf/item/352199824 - July 12th marketplace sale
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198013245606#!/compare/1595030400/1596240000 - Don't know this sale
https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/179;5;u10 - Sold for $51.81 (26 Keys)
A third sale will be needed to determine the outlier.