EVENT SUGGESTION!

Done by: Team 3 - aj

Item 1 - Duped

https://backpack.tf/item/290984398

Sale 1

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198127508395#!/compare/1590019200/1590192000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197964171516#!/compare/1590105600/1590192000

Sold to buy order, the 4 keys and 11 ref match up

Item 2

https://backpack.tf/item/230370122

Sale 2

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199031113924#!/compare/1589155200/1589241600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198205548356#!/compare/1589068800/1589241600

The Stormy Storm Dixie matches up and the Rancho Relaxo and Mannrobics match up leaving Pyro's bp

Rancho Relaxo was 39 ref on the day - https://bot.tf/stats/listings/MQ07O660

Mannrobics was 1 key 23.44 ref on the day - https://bot.tf/stats/listings/MVQ3VO3W

Total sweets comes to 1 key 62.44 ref

Keys were 52.88 ref - https://bot.tf/stats/listings/MXX81X91

1 key 62.44 ref comes to 2.18 keys

Vivid Plasma Larrikin sold alongside 2.18 keys in sweets for Stormy Storm Dixie

Better used there

Sale 3

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198205548356#!/compare/1589068800/1589241600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198797052365#!/compare/1589155200/1589241600

12 keys match

Sold for 12 keys

Sale 4

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198797052365#!/compare/1589328000/1589414400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199053553780#!/compare/1589673600/1589760000

Untrace, buyers bp doesn't go that far back

Sale 5

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199053553780#!/compare/1589760000/1589846400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198825449109#!/compare/1589760000/1589846400

Untrace

Sale 6

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198825449109#!/compare/1589760000/1589846400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198066686957#!/compare/1589760000/1589846400

Sold for Stormy Storm Hermes

Taking Hermes as 10 keys

Taking 10 keys

Mini for the Hermes: https://backpack.tf/suggestion/5f092c412912a7720b5a0971

Sale 7

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198066686957#!/compare/1591401600/1591488000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198190466566#!/compare/1591056000/1591401600

Bulk

Sale 8

Excluding Mannco.trade sale

Item 3 - Duped

https://backpack.tf/item/222955429

Sale 9

Item has not actually moved, duped shenanigans

Item 4 - Duped

https://backpack.tf/item/212610738

Sale 10

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198928487004#!/compare/1589500800/1589587200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198015950668#!/compare/1589587200/1589673600

Sold for Circling TF Logo Magnificent Mongolian, Terror-Watt Hotrod (9) and Kazotsky Kick (https://bot.tf/stats/listings/MLV88O65 - 2.5 keys that day)

7.5 + 9 + 2.5 = 19 keys

Couldn't find a buyout

Sale 11

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198015950668#!/compare/1590710400/1591833600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198928487004#!/compare/1590796800/1590883200

Untrace

Sale 12

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198928487004#!/compare/1592438400/1592784000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198379270361#!/compare/1592697600/1592784000

Bulk

Sale 13

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198379270361#!/compare/1592784000/1592870400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198317155445#!/compare/1592611200/1592870400

Sold alongside 43 ref for 10 keys

Sale 14

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198317155445#!/compare/1592870400/1592956800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198373460053#!/compare/1592784000/1592870400

A key matches, the MN Strontium Stove Pipe does not

Sale 15

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198373460053#!/compare/1592870400/1592956800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198247829918#!/compare/1592870400/1592956800

Sold for 12 keys

Sale 16

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198247829918#!/compare/1592870400/1592956800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198133820283#!/compare/1592870400/1592956800

Untrace

Sale 17

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198133820283#!/compare/1592956800/1593043200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198200309337#!/compare/1592870400/1592956800

7 keys match

Sale 18

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198200309337#!/compare/1592870400/1592956800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198313582232#!/compare/1592870400/1592956800

Untrace

Sale 19

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198313582232#!/compare/1592870400/1592956800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198349472965#!/compare/1592870400/1592956800

Untrace

Sale 20

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198349472965#!/compare/1592956800/1593043200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198985910282#!/compare/1592956800/1593043200

Sold to bot, untrace

Bot.tf sales

https://prnt.sc/tfnb79 - Taking sales from 10/05/20 onwards

1 purchase for 9 keys 8 ref

1 purchase for 9 keys 6.88 ref

1 sale for 9 keys 45 ref

Marketplace sales

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/314;5;u16

June 11th - $26.64 / $2.03 = 13.12 keys

June 23rd - $25.99 / $2.00 = 12.99 keys

Sales

12, 10, 19, 9, 12, 7, 9, 9, 10, 13, 13

Sales but ordered

7, 9, 9, 9, 10, 10, 12, 12, 13, 13, 19

Current Listings

https://prnt.sc/tfnzue

Bot seller for 12 keys

4 days @ 16 keys

2 months @ 16 keys

10 months @ 17 keys

12 hours @ 17 keys

Conclusion

Taking 10 – 13 keys