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Item Links:
1. https://backpack.tf/item/7975789115
2. https://backpack.tf/item/7961321502
3. https://backpack.tf/item/8010435419
4. https://backpack.tf/item/7961756725 (Polo owns carter)
5. https://backpack.tf/item/7955629019
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Marketplace Sales:
24 June: 40 Keys
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Sale 1:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198156083411#!/compare/1587772800/1593302400
Untraceable
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Sale 2:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198154700747#!/compare/1589068800/1589328000
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198993873071#!/compare/1589068800/1589155200
Untraceable
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Sale 3:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198838637314#!/compare/1590278400/1590451200
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198154700747#!/compare/1590278400/1590537600
Shutterbug + 5 keys for The Ooze Smokey Sombrero
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Bruh Sale 4:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198358482558#!/compare/1594080000/1594166400
https://bot.tf/stats/item?def=31048&q=5&ef=Scorching%20Flames&craft=1&aus=0&ks=0&source=browser_script
Sold for 13 keys
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Sale 5:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198171447086#!/compare/1591401600/1591660800
Strange Festivized Professional Killstreak Australium Sniper Rifle for Pyroland Daydream Yule Hog + Scorching Flames Shutterbug + Disco Beat Down Lucky Shot
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Valid Sales:
1. 13 Keys
2. 40 Keys
3 sellers are listing it for less than 40 keys but there are only 2 actual traceable sales, taking 13-40 Keys
13-40 is way too large of a range, even if 13 was valid. Was (somehow) sold to a buy order. Common sense and the Smokey sale support removing 13
I can't just use 40 keys as there are sellers below 40 keys
You can use sellers as a low-end (presuming they are not super young <1 week, can be less for cheaper unusuals)
given there are 3 for sale at 35 and another lower seller on marketplace i would just leave this unpriced for now since both sales are so far apart from one another and both are low and high respectively