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Non event suggestion, another day, another buyout drop
Item 1
https://backpack.tf/item/8735536280
Sale 1
Excluding scrap sales
Sale 2
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198061302796#!/compare/1590537600/1590796800
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198868641396#!/compare/1590537600/1590624000
The key and the skin match up
Not sure what to price the skin at, it recently sold for ~1.5 keys on SCM
Sale 3
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198868641396#!/compare/1591228800/1591401600
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198059272171#!/compare/1591315200/1591401600
Untrace
Sale 4
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198059272171#!/compare/1591401600/1591488000
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198453530349#!/compare/1591315200/1591401600
The key and 23.33 ref match up
Item 2
https://backpack.tf/item/8514256803
Sale 5
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198841279602#!/compare/1589846400/1589932800
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198092449612#!/compare/1589760000/1589932800
Untrace
Sale 6
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198092449612#!/compare/1589760000/1589932800
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198012537041#!/compare/1589846400/1589932800
Gambling
Sale 7
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198012537041#!/compare/1589846400/1589932800
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198964086825#!/compare/1589760000/1589932800
Gambling
Sale 8
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198964086825#!/compare/1589932800/1590019200
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198063372917#!/compare/1589846400/1590019200
Gambling
Sale 9
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198063372917#!/compare/1589846400/1590019200
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198158238131#!/compare/1589932800/1590019200
Gambling
Sale 10
Excluding sales to qs.store
Item 3
https://backpack.tf/item/7956893455
Sale 11
Shuffling between qs.store bots
Item 4
https://backpack.tf/item/7956458586
Sale 12
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198160832579#!/compare/1591747200/1591833600
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198118199330#!/compare/1591747200/1591833600
Bulk
Item 5
https://backpack.tf/item/7956349348
Sale 6
Taken off mp
Item 6
https://backpack.tf/item/7560873395
Sale 14
Shuffling between qs,store bots
Marketplace sales
https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/30022;5;u60
May 4th - $12.78 / $1.88 = 6.80 keys
May 4th - $12.65 / $1.88 = 6.73 keys
Current Listings'
https://prnt.sc/tgb3z2
Zol unsold at 6.16 keys for 2 months
Other bot has also had it for a month
Just going to buyout drop this to 6 keys, the mp sales support that
Can't trace either zol or scrappy's sales, but most likely for 6
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198337734785#!/compare/1596412800/1596499200
https://backpack.tf/item/7955990874
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198453530349#!/compare/1597017600/1597104000
https://backpack.tf/item/8735536280
Both likely gambled right after buying
Also:
https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/5021;6
$12.89 / $1.84 = 7.01 keys
$13.99 / $1.84 = 7.60 keys
$13 / $1.85 = 7.02 keys
$13 / $1.85 = 7.02 keys
$13.99 / $1.79 = 7.82 keys
Creds Shuffle for this part:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198202186637#!/compare/1597190400/1597276800 - I imagine there's more involved
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198882724827#!/compare/1597190400/1597276800 - ?
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198322035911#!/compare/1597190400/1597276800 - ?
https://backpack.tf/item/7560873395 - None of these are traceable
https://imgur.com/a/Zc1oh7l - Both zol and Bee had buy orders at 5.86 Keys. I'd reckon both (100% Bee, the stock says 1/2) paid that price.
Theres enough sales at 7 to include. While there are no 100% tracable 6 sales, the sellers were there for awhile before selling as well as multiple potential buy order purchases that round to 6 as noted by Shuffle above. 6 - 7 should be fine.
bumping comment :P
Ah golly, am blind, will do it when I get home after work :]