EVENT SUGGESTION!

Done by: Team 3 - aj

Item 1

https://backpack.tf/item/7956423461

Sale 1

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198841279602#!/compare/1592870400/1592956800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198171058391#!/compare/1592870400/1592956800

Untrace

Sale 2

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198171058391#!/compare/1592870400/1592956800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198839259306#!/compare/1592697600/1592956800

Sold for Vintage Sergeant's Drill Hat w/ Gangreen Footprints

Taking 5 keys

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Mini for Spelled Prints Drill's

Item History

https://backpack.tf/item/279260801

Sale 1

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198171058391#!/compare/1593820800/1593907200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198181432645#!/compare/1593907200/1593993600

Untrace

Sale 2

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198181432645#!/compare/1594166400/1594252800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198382210598#!/compare/1593993600/1594339200

5 keys match

Taking 5 keys as it's value

---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Sale 3

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198839259306#!/compare/1592697600/1592956800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198337734785#!/compare/1592870400/1592956800

Sold for 5 keys 47.22 ref

Item 2

https://backpack.tf/item/7956289470

Sale 4

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198037484203#!/compare/1588723200/1588809600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198169995671#!/compare/1588809600/1591660800

Bought off SCM

Sale 5

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198169995671#!/compare/1593129600/1593216000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199043177646#!/compare/1593129600/1593216000

Untrace

Item 3

https://backpack.tf/item/7955931530

Sale 6

Sold to and from mannco.trade, excluding

Item 4

https://backpack.tf/item/7955736235

Sale 7

Bought off cs.trade, excluding

Sale 8

Excluding trades with scammer alts

Sale 9

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198078018027#!/compare/1590451200/1590537600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198453530349#!/compare/1590451200/1590537600

Untrace

Item 4

https://backpack.tf/item/1963958978

Sale 10

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198077693809#!/compare/1589328000/1589500800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198814765089#!/compare/1589155200/1589673600

Untrace, keys do not match

Sale 11

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198814765089#!/compare/1591833600/1591920000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198341171690#!/compare/1591747200/1591833600

Sold for 5 keys 48 ref

Sales

5, 6, 6

Current Listings

https://prnt.sc/tgcxaa

4 bot sellers at 6.5 keys

Conclusion

Up until recently, buy orders were below 6 keys

This is indicated by this snapshot a week ago today - https://bot.tf/stats/listings/Y9QPG1K0

Buy orders were floating around 5.3 to 5.6 keys for a while before then

Then the fire nation attacked

https://bot.tf/stats/listings/4EP5PO36 - this snapshot 4 hour later shows a buy order for 5 keys 45 ref

https://bot.tf/stats/listings/466P65QL - this snapshot 7 hours later shows a buy order for 6 keys

https://bot.tf/stats/listings/MGLEJNG2 - this snapshot 2 days later shows that Zol is now purchasing for 6 keys and a scrap

The bots are all still unsold at ~6.5 keys but honestly, the 2 sales for ~6 just indicate this should be lower.

Taking 6 keys.