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Resuggestion, thanks to Xerogyf, Blaze, & Mindacos for the info!
Sale 1:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198185198978#!/compare/1581033600/1582848000
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198002757046#!/compare/1585612800/1585699200
QS
sale 2:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198002757046#!/compare/1585958400/1586044800
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198052246700#!/compare/1585958400/1586044800
Sold for 17 keys
Sale 3:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198052246700#!/compare/1588464000/1588550400
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198799477156#!/compare/1588204800/1588550400
Sold for 30 keys
sale 4:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198799477156#!/compare/1588204800/1588550400
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198148511293#!/compare/1588550400/1588636800
multiple items match (jefe, 28 keys, bottle cap, etc.), can't tell if separate or part of same sale.
considering 17 sold in a few days....
Sale 1 was not Melifaro selling it as that account is a tf2mart bot. It is likely someone with a private inventory who bought it from tf2mart in feburary and then sold it to rubi at some unknown date. This is a problem because there is a missing entry in the history, we do not know how long it took Rubi to sell for 17. Could of been super quick or took weeks, there is no way of knowing, and there is no bot.tf to help either.
In sale 4, ID's match for the bottle cap, and from the buyers side it looks like 7 keys were added with the hermes. The Jefe and Tossle ID match with the 26 keys group.
Only sale on the bottle is https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198043662502#!/compare/1586908800/1587686400 which looks really high
Given that sale 4 happened a day after buying it gives the impression that the buyer of the hermes regretted his purchase, making me think going 30 is not going to be accurate.
This might be best left unupdated.
EDIT: found when Rubi got it https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198002757046#!/compare/1585612800/1585699200 took 4 days to sell, though Rubi sometimes takes a few days to list new items. 17 does look low.
Blaze’s Part:
https://backpack.tf/suggestion/5f051e597732f02af561d20d - mini for the bottle cap puts the sale at 18 keys
Mindacos' Part:
Honestly, 17-18 should be fine here with all things considered.