bp listings: https://prnt.sc/thu95c

seller at 9 keys

buyers at 5.5 keys

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Looking at this item: https://backpack.tf/item/1628293105

Sale #1

seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198124578583#!/compare/1590710400/1590969600

buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198033661509#!/compare/1590796800/1590969600

Sold with other hat of similar value: bulk

Sale #2

seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198033661509#!/compare/1594339200/1594598400

buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198193571627#!/compare/1594512000/1594598400

untrace

Sale #3

seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198193571627#!/compare/1594512000/1594598400

buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198160080788#!/compare/1594512000/1594598400

bulk/gamble makes no difference

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Looking at this item: https://backpack.tf/item/4602244702

Sale #4

seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198348625599#!/compare/1589587200/1589673600

buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198213154011#!/compare/1589328000/1589673600

Sold for 6 keys.

2 other sales are Bot.tf sales.

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Bot.tf stats: https://prnt.sc/thupaq

2 sales for 6 keys.

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Mp sales: https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/313;5;u33

May 4, 11.55/1.88 = 6 keys

May 11, 13.66/1.90 = 7 keys

Jul 14, 19.99/1.93 = 10 keys

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Calling 10 key sale an outlier.

Going with 6-7 keys.