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Bp listings: https://prnt.sc/thv4qm
seller at 8 keys
buyers at 7 keys
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Only recently traded item: https://backpack.tf/item/8636169828
Bot.tf stats: https://prnt.sc/thv0s8
2 sales for 7 keys.
Other sale was to Scrap.tf
seller's last compare: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198297026479#!/compare/1586649600/1586736000
There's no way I can trace that.
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Mp sales: https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/30827;5;u33
Jun 17, 19.99/1.98 =
10 keysJun 27, 11.41/2.04 =
5.5 keys--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Going with 7 keys.
More info on bot sale:
https://backpack.tf/item/5383463903
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198868969121#!/compare/1590969600/1593648000
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198305494036#!/compare/1590969600/1591056000
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198305494036#!/compare/1591315200/1591401600
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198972294135#!/compare/1591315200/1591401600
Your sales here are 5.5, 7, and 10. Given how discrepant that is, and how recent this was priced, I would leave this outdated.
As a general advice: you rely too much on bot.tf listings for your suggestions. I've seen a couple of them in a row where you only use bot.tf stats; purchases there are always buy order sales, and some of the sales happened very fast after. Aside from that, bot.tf only shows the buyout at the time the hat sold, it does not guarantee it sold at that value. While it is fine to assume the values are correct if multiple sales happen at the same value, you should always be wary about this, and attempt to find the sales through compare links.
It is also worth looking into item sales rather than only using bot sales or marketplace sales.