Suggestion: Orbiting Fire Bloke's Bucket Hat at 6.5–8.5 keys

Price Suggestion

~13 keys

o.fire

41 votes up

7 votes down

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This suggestion was closed Sat, 22 Aug 20 17:01:42 +0000 by the submitter.

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Comments

Bp listings: https://prnt.sc/thv6k5

seller at 12 keys

buyers at 6.5 keys

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Bot.tf stats: https://prnt.sc/thv7at

4 sales at 6 keys

1 sale at 6.5 keys

5 sales at 7 keys

3 sales at 7.5 keys

1 sale at 8 keys

Mp sales: https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/181;5;u33

Apr 22, 15.49/1.75 = 9 keys

Apr 26, 15.49/ 1.81 = 8.5 keys

May 9, 16.00/1.89 = 8.5 keys

May 13, 15.99/1.90 = 8.5 keys

May 17, 15.00/1.89 = 8 keys

Jun 18, 10.00/1.98 = 5 keys

Jun 25, 15.99/1.99 = 8 keys

Jul 8, 15.95/1.99 = 8 keys

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Distribution gives us a mean of 7.5±1.0 keys with a 1σ error (with rounding).

I actually did the math here so no, I'm not just making that up.

Going with 6.5-8.5 keys.

All but one of your sales at 6 are buy orders or quicksales, as well as multiple of your 7 sales. These indicate that those values are very likely too low.

With the data found here I would go 8-8.5 here; 9 is the oldest mp sale and the other values are supported by multiple data points as opposed to 9 (furthermore, 9 is influenced by a temp. dip in key values, and is probably high because of that). Not fully opposed to 7.5-8.5 here.