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Kill-a-Watt Federal Casemaker
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198356206453#!/compare/1588032000/1588118400
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199043625146#!/compare/1587513600/1588032000
Sold for a Orb. Fire Rebel rouser + 1 keys in sweets. The rebel rouser cannot be updated.
Unusable mini for the rouser: https://hastebin.com/dumiseguka.rb
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199043625146#!/compare/1588032000/1588118400
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198123224716#!/compare/1588118400/1588204800
Untrace
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198123224716#!/compare/1588118400/1588204800
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198059782891#!/compare/1588032000/1588118400
Untrace
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198059782891#!/compare/1590105600/1592956800
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198305494036#!/compare/1590019200/1590105600
Sold to buy orders at 18, lower than current buyer.
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198070034599#!/compare/1593648000/1593734400
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198876179362#!/compare/1593561600/1593993600
Untrace
Marketplace sales: https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/30119;5;u56
Sold on 6/5/2020 for $56.99 / $1.96 = 29.08 keys ~ 29
Taking the one usable sale and pricing this at 29 keys.
Couple new sales here:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198241082598#!/compare/1596326400/1596585600
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198073823378#!/compare/1596499200/1596585600 - Bulk for a Vivd Party Phantom
Buyout was 35 keys on the casemaker https://bot.tf/stats/listings/4R01R929
https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/30119;5;u56 - Can't trace a history or a buyout
Aug 3rd - $54.99, Keys that day were $1.89 = 29 Keys
Looks good with 2 "pure" sales at 29, upvoted.
There are a lot of lower sales with the 2x killua sales and then the rebel which is really overpriced. None of those are really includable, so this is fine, but is definitely a conservative drop.