Mini

Snowfallen Smissmas Saxton

└ Sunbeams Sergeant's Drill Hat

....└ Haunted Ghosts Scotch Bonnet

........└ Blizzardy Storm Détective Noir

........│...└ Bubbling Bullet Buzz

........└ Vivid Plasma Fat Man's Field Cap

No recent sales from mplc.tf: https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/30911;5;u16

No recent sales from mannco.store: https://mannco.store/item/11607

Item tracing:-

Item 1: https://backpack.tf/item/8550674179

Sale #1

untraced

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198815908394#!/compare/1591228800/1594080000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198125791160#!/compare/1591401600/1594684800

Item 2: https://backpack.tf/item/6794615908

Sale #2

untraced

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198073644916#!/compare/1587945600/1588032000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198453317142#!/compare/1581897600/1589932800

Sale #3

bulk/untraced

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198453317142#!/compare/1589932800/1594339200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198185749394#!/compare/1589846400/1594252800

Item 3: https://backpack.tf/item/7098115106

Sale #4

untraced

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198803829026#!/compare/1586995200/1587081600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199038960749#!/compare/1587081600/1592870400

Sale #5

Sold for Aussie + pure

Strange Killstreak Australium Flame Thrower (19 keys) = Vivid Plasma Fat Man's Field Cap + 6 keys

Vivid Plasma Fat Man's Field Cap = 13 keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199038960749#!/compare/1587081600/1592870400 (missing)

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198054002248#!/compare/1586995200/1587081600 (ID: 8690050515)

Strange Killstreak Australium Flame Thrower: ~19 keys (Bot.tf stats - https://gyazo.com/b17c60bcaeb1522ef5474eae114bacfd)

Sale #6

untraced

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198054002248#!/compare/1587081600/1587254400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198101300189#!/compare/1587081600/1587859200 (missing)

Sale #7

untraced

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198101300189#!/compare/1587081600/1587168000 (missing)

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198020673987#!/compare/1587081600/1587427200 (missing)

Sale #8

bulk

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198020673987#!/compare/1588291200/1588377600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198850274253#!/compare/1588291200/1588464000

Sale #9

Sold for 9 keys + 1.22 ref ~ 9 keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198850274253#!/compare/1588809600/1588896000 (ID: 8771367830)

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198254285639#!/compare/1588723200/1588896000 (ID: 8771367921)

Sale #10

Used to make this mini - skip

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198254285639#!/compare/1589500800/1589673600 (ID: 8803441268)

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198100836666#!/compare/1589587200/1589760000 (ID: 8803441181)

Sale #11

untraced

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198100836666#!/compare/1590019200/1590105600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198133868529#!/compare/1589932800/1590192000

Sale #12

untraced

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198133868529#!/compare/1590192000/1590278400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198078018027#!/compare/1590192000/1590364800

Skipping 4 trades on the same day (untraceable)

Sale #13

bulk/untraced

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198216576587#!/compare/1590278400/1590364800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198993275600#!/compare/1590278400/1590364800

untraced

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198993275600#!/compare/1590364800/1590537600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198037674114#!/compare/1590278400/1591315200 (missing)

untraced/bulk

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198037674114#!/compare/1593907200/1594080000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198850178158#!/compare/1593993600/1594080000

untraced/transfer

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198850178158#!/compare/1594425600/1594512000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198850121720#!/compare/1594512000/1594771200

Current sell/buy order: https://gyazo.com/a24cf119e74b7b270d355f5b67a7b8ca

Selling: 8.52, 11 keys

Buying: 7.43 keys

Only buying on stn.tf for 7 keys, 16 ref (https://stntrading.eu/item/tf2/Unusual+Vivid+Plasma+Fat+Man%27s+Field+Cap)

No B/O on mplc.tf

Valid sales: 9, 13 keys

Excluding 13 keys since higher than current selling price.

Taking 9 keys flat.

IdiNium's Unusual Suggestion #2