Mini

Snowfallen Smissmas Saxton

└ Sunbeams Sergeant's Drill Hat

...└ Haunted Ghosts Scotch Bonnet

......└ Blizzardy Storm Détective Noir

......│...└ Bubbling Bullet Buzz

......└ Vivid Plasma Fat Man's Field Cap

1 recent sale from mplc.tf: https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/306;5;u8

Sale #1: $32.99 / $1.98 (https://manic.tf/keyprice/?at=2020-06-22) = 16.66 ~ 17 keys

Item tracing:-

Item 1: https://backpack.tf/item/338624034 (duped)

skipping trade with tradeit.gg bot

Sale #2

untraced

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198232041512#!/compare/1592438400/1592524800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198882173400#!/compare/1592611200/1592870400

Item 2: https://backpack.tf/item/791689754

Sale #3

Sold to a bot for 12 keys + 4 ref ~ 12 keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198028654415#!/compare/1592179200/1592352000 (ID: 8901390175)

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198305494036#!/compare/1592352000/1592438400

Sale #4

Sold by a bot for 10 keys + 2 refs ~ 10 keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198305494036#!/compare/1592092800/1592179200 (ID: 8902216035)

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198097271466#!/compare/1592092800/1592179200

Sale #5

Sold for 15 keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198097271466#!/compare/1592352000/1592438400 (ID: 8910924203)

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198195709231#!/compare/1592179200/1592697600 (ID: 8910924228)

Item 3: https://backpack.tf/item/7474337268

Sale #6

Sold for 1 + nametags : 1 + pure

Haunted Ghosts Scotch Bonnet + 3 keys = Blizzardy Storm Détective Noir (~15.5 keys) + 2x Nametag (~0.48 keys)

Haunted Ghosts Scotch Bonnet = 15.5 + 0.48 - 3 = 12.98 ~ 13 keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199004015206#!/compare/1588377600/1588809600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198043171944#!/compare/1587686400/1588809600

Blizzardy Storm Détective Noir: Mini: ~15.5 keys (Mini - https://backpack.tf/suggestion/5f1005ef511eac40393d6864)

Nametag (2 weeks ago): ~13.66 ref ~ 0.24 keys (https://backpack.tf/suggestion/5f012f73989abb1dfe6d9856) (snapshot at the time this trade is not available)

Sale #7

Sold for 17 keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198043171944#!/compare/1588809600/1589068800 (ID: 8768862570) - show only 2 keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198045551697#!/compare/1588809600/1588896000 (ID: 8768862669) - removed section

Sale #8

untraced

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198045551697#!/compare/1588896000/1588982400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198254285639#!/compare/1588723200/1588896000

Sale #9

Sold for 1: 2 unusual

Aces High Pyromancer's Mask (~51 keys) = Haunted Ghosts Scotch Bonnet + Vivid Plasma Fat Man's Field Cap (9 keys)

Haunted Ghosts Scotch Bonnet = 51 - 9 = 42 keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198254285639#!/compare/1589500800/1589673600 (ID: 8803441249)

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198100836666#!/compare/1589587200/1589673600 (ID: 8803441181)

Aces High Pyromancer's Mask (3 weeks ago): https://backpack.tf/suggestion/5ecc7f870a9a33188c33be91

Vivid Plasma Fat Man's Field Cap: ~9 keys (Mini - https://backpack.tf/suggestion/5f1005e5f6af0337c846e5dd)

Sale #10

untraced/bulk

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198100836666#!/compare/1589760000/1590019200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198165205268#!/compare/1589846400/1590019200

Sale #11

Used to make this mini - skip

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198165205268#!/compare/1590019200/1590105600 (ID: 8817717020)

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198146046621#!/compare/1589932800/1590019200 (ID: 8817716988)

Sale #12

Sold for 11 keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198146046621#!/compare/1590192000/1590364800 (ID: 8825107855)

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198172690987#!/compare/1590105600/1590192000 (ID: 8825108039)

Sale #13

Sold for 13 keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198172690987#!/compare/1590537600/1590624000 (ID: 8841788246)

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198089838489#!/compare/1590537600/1590624000 (ID: 8841788272)

Sale #14

Sold for 1:1 unusual + sweets

Bubbling Cotton Head = Haunted Ghosts Scotch Bonnet + North Polar Fleece + Genuine Fear Monger + Summer Shades + Non-Craftable Batter's Helmet + The All-Father + The Sub Zero Suit

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198089838489#!/compare/1590624000/1590710400 (ID: 8842773438)

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198279706201#!/compare/1590278400/1590796800 (ID: 8842773262)

Bubbling Cotton Head: mini not possible (https://pastebin.com/b6XcaA8E)

North Polar Fleece: ~ 8.77 ref (https://gyazo.com/316bae7912811b08d094d726ec97559c)

Genuine Fear Monger: ~ 7.11 ref (https://gyazo.com/eb500f1f0884083e92ffe449ab24a7ef)

Summer Shades: ~ 19.33 ref (https://gyazo.com/027670ac52a6c2565ec68d44eb2b061a)

Non-Craftable Batter's Helmet: ~ 3.77 ref (https://gyazo.com/373ca6007352cae6fa26e27f99b50bd2)

The All-Father: ~15.11 ref (https://gyazo.com/72692771671f04f809738fb959d1c453)

The Sub Zero Suit: ~11.33 ref (https://gyazo.com/5b5711b82209712fb638d389cd78f5a2)

Taunt: The Meet the Medic: ~6.44 ref (https://gyazo.com/26697a996c7b639a6258568e92cebaa2)

Skipped since mini not possible for Bubbling Cotton Head

Sale #15

untraced

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198279706201#!/compare/1591056000/1591142400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198109141608#!/compare/1591056000/1591142400

Sale #16

untraced/bluk

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198109141608#!/compare/1591142400/1591228800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198067967717#!/compare/1591056000/1591228800

Current sell/buy order: https://gyazo.com/aa4ba74d215630b03700408b92e7ca5d

No sellers

Buying at 11.47, 11.46, 11.45 keys

No B/O on mplc.tf and mannco.store

Only buying for 12 keys, 2 ref on stn.tf: https://stntrading.eu/item/tf2/Unusual+Haunted+Ghosts+Scotch+Bonnet

Valid sales: 17, 12, 10, 15, 13, 17, 42, 11, 13 --> 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 15 | 17 | 17 | 42

Excluding 10, 11 and 12 since lower than buying price.

Excluding 42 - outlier

Taking 13 - 17 keys (avg 15 keys)

IdiNium's Unusual Suggestion #5